Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald faces Democrat Andrew Beck in Wisconsin’s 5th Congressional District on November 3, 2026, after both secured their party nominations in the August 11 primaries. The district’s consistent Republican lean—rated R+11 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and covering northern and western Milwaukee suburbs—combined with Fitzgerald’s prior 64% victory margin and strong fundraising, underpins trader consensus around a 93.5% Republican outcome. All major forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Limited name recognition or resources for the Democratic challenger further reinforce the positioning. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could still alter the result, though no such factors have emerged in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$54,801 Vol.
$54,801 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$54,801 Vol.
$54,801 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$30,539 Vol.
94%
民主党
$24,262 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald faces Democrat Andrew Beck in Wisconsin’s 5th Congressional District on November 3, 2026, after both secured their party nominations in the August 11 primaries. The district’s consistent Republican lean—rated R+11 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and covering northern and western Milwaukee suburbs—combined with Fitzgerald’s prior 64% victory margin and strong fundraising, underpins trader consensus around a 93.5% Republican outcome. All major forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Limited name recognition or resources for the Democratic challenger further reinforce the positioning. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could still alter the result, though no such factors have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$54,801終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald faces Democrat Andrew Beck in Wisconsin’s 5th Congressional District on November 3, 2026, after both secured their party nominations in the August 11 primaries. The district’s consistent Republican lean—rated R+11 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and covering northern and western Milwaukee suburbs—combined with Fitzgerald’s prior 64% victory margin and strong fundraising, underpins trader consensus around a 93.5% Republican outcome. All major forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Limited name recognition or resources for the Democratic challenger further reinforce the positioning. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could still alter the result, though no such factors have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$54,801終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald faces Democrat Andrew Beck in Wisconsin’s 5th Congressional District on November 3, 2026, after both secured their party nominations in the August 11 primaries. The district’s consistent Republican lean—rated R+11 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and covering northern and western Milwaukee suburbs—combined with Fitzgerald’s prior 64% victory margin and strong fundraising, underpins trader consensus around a 93.5% Republican outcome. All major forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Limited name recognition or resources for the Democratic challenger further reinforce the positioning. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could still alter the result, though no such factors have emerged in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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