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icon for 議会は2026年に拒否権を無効にしますか?

議会は2026年に拒否権を無効にしますか?

icon for 議会は2026年に拒否権を無効にしますか?

議会は2026年に拒否権を無効にしますか?

はい

8% 確率
Polymarket

$11,464 Vol.

はい

8% 確率
Polymarket

$11,464 Vol.

This market will resolve to Yes if the US Congress overrides a presidential veto by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Republican majorities in both chambers alongside President Trump create a high bar for overrides, which require two-thirds support in the House and Senate, as demonstrated by the failed attempts in January 2026 on two vetoed bills where Republicans largely sustained the president's position. Unified government has historically produced few successful overrides, though the November 2026 midterms introduce uncertainty over potential shifts in control that could ease or complicate future votes. Traders see a narrow edge for at least one override by year-end due to possible bipartisan measures or post-election dynamics, while sustained party discipline and the infrequency of such votes keep probabilities near even.

This market will resolve to Yes if the US Congress overrides a presidential veto by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$11,464
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jun 25, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
This market will resolve to Yes if the US Congress overrides a presidential veto by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to Yes if the US Congress overrides a presidential veto by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Republican majorities in both chambers alongside President Trump create a high bar for overrides, which require two-thirds support in the House and Senate, as demonstrated by the failed attempts in January 2026 on two vetoed bills where Republicans largely sustained the president's position. Unified government has historically produced few successful overrides, though the November 2026 midterms introduce uncertainty over potential shifts in control that could ease or complicate future votes. Traders see a narrow edge for at least one override by year-end due to possible bipartisan measures or post-election dynamics, while sustained party discipline and the infrequency of such votes keep probabilities near even.

This market will resolve to Yes if the US Congress overrides a presidential veto by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$11,464
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jun 25, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
This market will resolve to Yes if the US Congress overrides a presidential veto by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「議会は2026年に拒否権を無効にしますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2026年に議会はどんな拒否権も覆すでしょうか?」で8%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、8¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に8%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「議会は2026年に拒否権を無効にしますか?」は$11.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jun 25, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「議会は2026年に拒否権を無効にしますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「議会は2026年に拒否権を無効にしますか?」の現在のリーダーは「2026年に議会はどんな拒否権も覆すでしょうか?」でわずか8%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「議会は2026年に拒否権を無効にしますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。