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icon for ジェームズ・コミー氏は5月15日までに国を離れるのか?

ジェームズ・コミー氏は5月15日までに国を離れるのか?

icon for ジェームズ・コミー氏は5月15日までに国を離れるのか?

ジェームズ・コミー氏は5月15日までに国を離れるのか?

はい

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$109,013 Vol.

はい

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$109,013 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that James Comey has left the United States for any length of time by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Comey may have exited US airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than the US for this market to resolve to "Yes". If James Comey exits United States maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that James Comey left the United States, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. With the May 15 resolution date now passed, traders hold near-certain consensus that James Comey did not leave the country, reflecting the complete absence of official announcements, legal actions, or public statements indicating any planned departure. As a former FBI director operating as a private citizen, Comey has continued domestic professional and personal activities without signals of relocation abroad. Historical patterns for former U.S. officials show departures occur only under rare, verifiable pressures such as formal exile or acute safety concerns, none of which have arisen in this case. While sudden legal developments or health-related travel could still theoretically shift outcomes before final market settlement, no such catalysts have appeared to alter the 100% implied probability on the negative result.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that James Comey has left the United States for any length of time by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In cases where Comey may have exited US airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than the US for this market to resolve to "Yes". If James Comey exits United States maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that James Comey left the United States, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$109,013
終了日
2026/05/15
マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that James Comey has left the United States for any length of time by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Comey may have exited US airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than the US for this market to resolve to "Yes". If James Comey exits United States maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that James Comey left the United States, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てウィンドウ

最終

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that James Comey has left the United States for any length of time by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Comey may have exited US airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than the US for this market to resolve to "Yes". If James Comey exits United States maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that James Comey left the United States, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. With the May 15 resolution date now passed, traders hold near-certain consensus that James Comey did not leave the country, reflecting the complete absence of official announcements, legal actions, or public statements indicating any planned departure. As a former FBI director operating as a private citizen, Comey has continued domestic professional and personal activities without signals of relocation abroad. Historical patterns for former U.S. officials show departures occur only under rare, verifiable pressures such as formal exile or acute safety concerns, none of which have arisen in this case. While sudden legal developments or health-related travel could still theoretically shift outcomes before final market settlement, no such catalysts have appeared to alter the 100% implied probability on the negative result.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that James Comey has left the United States for any length of time by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In cases where Comey may have exited US airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than the US for this market to resolve to "Yes". If James Comey exits United States maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that James Comey left the United States, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$109,013
終了日
2026/05/15
マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that James Comey has left the United States for any length of time by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Comey may have exited US airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than the US for this market to resolve to "Yes". If James Comey exits United States maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that James Comey left the United States, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てウィンドウ

最終

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よくある質問

「ジェームズ・コミー氏は5月15日までに国を離れるのか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ジェームズ・コミーは5月15日までに国外に出ますか?」で0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、0¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に0%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ジェームズ・コミー氏は5月15日までに国を離れるのか?」は$109Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 28, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ジェームズ・コミー氏は5月15日までに国を離れるのか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「ジェームズ・コミー氏は5月15日までに国を離れるのか?」の現在のリーダーは「ジェームズ・コミーは5月15日までに国外に出ますか?」でわずか0%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ジェームズ・コミー氏は5月15日までに国を離れるのか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。