U.S. natural gas futures have faced downward pressure this week amid mild temperature forecasts across key heating regions that have limited near-term demand, with the November contract recently trading near $2.78–$3.06 per MMBtu. Below-average storage injections—77 Bcf for the week ending October 16 versus a 79 Bcf consensus and 87 Bcf five-year average—have narrowed the inventory surplus to just 35 Bcf above the 2021–2025 norm at 3,644 Bcf, while record LNG feedgas flows near 18–20.7 Bcf/d continue to anchor consumption. Production remains elevated around 111–112 Bcf/d, but ample end-of-October inventories near 3,850 Bcf are expected to cap upside absent colder weather. The next EIA storage report on October 29 and evolving temperature outlooks represent key near-term catalysts for price direction.
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