Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 74.5% implied probability that Sam Altman will not receive direct equity in OpenAI by June 30, driven by his longstanding public stance of holding zero ownership stake—confirmed in recent Musk v. OpenAI trial court filings and a leaked April cap table—despite his CEO role and low $66,000 salary. Heightened scrutiny from the ongoing federal trial, where Altman testified this week amid revelations of his $2 billion personal stakes in OpenAI partner firms like Helion Energy, has amplified governance concerns and conflict-of-interest probes by House Oversight and state attorneys general. No official announcements signal an equity grant, with board bylaws recently toughened against CEO removal but no transparency on compensation shifts; a trial verdict in coming weeks could sway sentiment, though historical delays in OpenAI's nonprofit-to-public benefit corporation transition temper near-term expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/06/30
はい
新規
新規
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 74.5% implied probability that Sam Altman will not receive direct equity in OpenAI by June 30, driven by his longstanding public stance of holding zero ownership stake—confirmed in recent Musk v. OpenAI trial court filings and a leaked April cap table—despite his CEO role and low $66,000 salary. Heightened scrutiny from the ongoing federal trial, where Altman testified this week amid revelations of his $2 billion personal stakes in OpenAI partner firms like Helion Energy, has amplified governance concerns and conflict-of-interest probes by House Oversight and state attorneys general. No official announcements signal an equity grant, with board bylaws recently toughened against CEO removal but no transparency on compensation shifts; a trial verdict in coming weeks could sway sentiment, though historical delays in OpenAI's nonprofit-to-public benefit corporation transition temper near-term expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ET
音量
$4,908終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 74.5% implied probability that Sam Altman will not receive direct equity in OpenAI by June 30, driven by his longstanding public stance of holding zero ownership stake—confirmed in recent Musk v. OpenAI trial court filings and a leaked April cap table—despite his CEO role and low $66,000 salary. Heightened scrutiny from the ongoing federal trial, where Altman testified this week amid revelations of his $2 billion personal stakes in OpenAI partner firms like Helion Energy, has amplified governance concerns and conflict-of-interest probes by House Oversight and state attorneys general. No official announcements signal an equity grant, with board bylaws recently toughened against CEO removal but no transparency on compensation shifts; a trial verdict in coming weeks could sway sentiment, though historical delays in OpenAI's nonprofit-to-public benefit corporation transition temper near-term expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI.
Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$4,908終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 74.5% implied probability that Sam Altman will not receive direct equity in OpenAI by June 30, driven by his longstanding public stance of holding zero ownership stake—confirmed in recent Musk v. OpenAI trial court filings and a leaked April cap table—despite his CEO role and low $66,000 salary. Heightened scrutiny from the ongoing federal trial, where Altman testified this week amid revelations of his $2 billion personal stakes in OpenAI partner firms like Helion Energy, has amplified governance concerns and conflict-of-interest probes by House Oversight and state attorneys general. No official announcements signal an equity grant, with board bylaws recently toughened against CEO removal but no transparency on compensation shifts; a trial verdict in coming weeks could sway sentiment, though historical delays in OpenAI's nonprofit-to-public benefit corporation transition temper near-term expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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