Republicans currently hold slim majorities in both chambers, but polling and models assign Democrats roughly a 70 percent chance of reclaiming the House in the November 2026 midterms. A Democratic majority would control the agenda, committees, and floor votes, enabling passage of articles of impeachment by simple majority. Recent resolutions, including Rep. Al Green’s August 2026 measure citing immigration enforcement and alleged constitutional violations, illustrate the approach Democrats have signaled. Trump and allies have publicly warned that loss of the House would trigger proceedings. Trader pricing at 67.5 percent for impeachment before January 2029 reflects these midterm expectations and historical patterns of partisan House majorities pursuing such actions, though Senate conviction remains a separate and steeper threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
68% 確率
$96,847 Vol.
$96,847 Vol.
2029/01/19
3.25%を獲得
はい
68% 確率
$96,847 Vol.
$96,847 Vol.
2029/01/19
3.25%を獲得
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republicans currently hold slim majorities in both chambers, but polling and models assign Democrats roughly a 70 percent chance of reclaiming the House in the November 2026 midterms. A Democratic majority would control the agenda, committees, and floor votes, enabling passage of articles of impeachment by simple majority. Recent resolutions, including Rep. Al Green’s August 2026 measure citing immigration enforcement and alleged constitutional violations, illustrate the approach Democrats have signaled. Trump and allies have publicly warned that loss of the House would trigger proceedings. Trader pricing at 67.5 percent for impeachment before January 2029 reflects these midterm expectations and historical patterns of partisan House majorities pursuing such actions, though Senate conviction remains a separate and steeper threshold.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
音量
$96,847終了日
2029/01/20マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republicans currently hold slim majorities in both chambers, but polling and models assign Democrats roughly a 70 percent chance of reclaiming the House in the November 2026 midterms. A Democratic majority would control the agenda, committees, and floor votes, enabling passage of articles of impeachment by simple majority. Recent resolutions, including Rep. Al Green’s August 2026 measure citing immigration enforcement and alleged constitutional violations, illustrate the approach Democrats have signaled. Trump and allies have publicly warned that loss of the House would trigger proceedings. Trader pricing at 67.5 percent for impeachment before January 2029 reflects these midterm expectations and historical patterns of partisan House majorities pursuing such actions, though Senate conviction remains a separate and steeper threshold.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
音量
$96,847終了日
2029/01/20マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Republicans currently hold slim majorities in both chambers, but polling and models assign Democrats roughly a 70 percent chance of reclaiming the House in the November 2026 midterms. A Democratic majority would control the agenda, committees, and floor votes, enabling passage of articles of impeachment by simple majority. Recent resolutions, including Rep. Al Green’s August 2026 measure citing immigration enforcement and alleged constitutional violations, illustrate the approach Democrats have signaled. Trump and allies have publicly warned that loss of the House would trigger proceedings. Trader pricing at 67.5 percent for impeachment before January 2029 reflects these midterm expectations and historical patterns of partisan House majorities pursuing such actions, though Senate conviction remains a separate and steeper threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問