FIFA’s expanded VAR protocol for the 2026 World Cup, effective immediately at the tournament’s outset, represents the dominant driver of expectations around decision overturns. Officials can now intervene on incorrectly awarded corners provided the check occurs without delaying the restart, review clearly mistaken second yellow cards leading to send-offs, correct mistaken identity on cautions or dismissals, and address certain pre-restart fouls that produce goals, penalties, or cards. AI-assisted 3D tracking further accelerates offside reviews, while the 48-team format and 104-match schedule increase overall exposure to these new review categories. Traders weigh these structural changes against the requirement that interventions remain quick and limited to clear errors, shaping consensus on total overturn volume.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ワールドカップ: VAR決定の覆しの数
5+ Overturns
62%
10+ Overturns
87%
15+ Overturns
50%
20+ Overturns
50%
$1 Vol.
5+ Overturns
62%
10+ Overturns
87%
15+ Overturns
50%
20+ Overturns
50%
A VAR overturn is counted each time an on-field decision is changed as a result of a VAR review. Reviews that confirm the original decision do not count.
Decisions that may be reviewed and/or overturned by VAR are as follows: Goal/no goal, Penalty kick/no penalty kick, Red cards (including but not limited to: incorrect second yellow), Mistaken identity regarding a disciplinary action (https://www.theifab.com/laws/latest/video-assistant-referee-var-protocol/#reviewable-decisions-incidents). Only initial calls on the field reviewed by VAR and later overturned during the match will be considered toward the final count.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, without the listed total being met, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA and official broadcast partners; however, a consensus of credible reporting (including Opta data) may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jun 11, 2026, 11:25 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A VAR overturn is counted each time an on-field decision is changed as a result of a VAR review. Reviews that confirm the original decision do not count.
Decisions that may be reviewed and/or overturned by VAR are as follows: Goal/no goal, Penalty kick/no penalty kick, Red cards (including but not limited to: incorrect second yellow), Mistaken identity regarding a disciplinary action (https://www.theifab.com/laws/latest/video-assistant-referee-var-protocol/#reviewable-decisions-incidents). Only initial calls on the field reviewed by VAR and later overturned during the match will be considered toward the final count.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, without the listed total being met, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA and official broadcast partners; however, a consensus of credible reporting (including Opta data) may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...FIFA’s expanded VAR protocol for the 2026 World Cup, effective immediately at the tournament’s outset, represents the dominant driver of expectations around decision overturns. Officials can now intervene on incorrectly awarded corners provided the check occurs without delaying the restart, review clearly mistaken second yellow cards leading to send-offs, correct mistaken identity on cautions or dismissals, and address certain pre-restart fouls that produce goals, penalties, or cards. AI-assisted 3D tracking further accelerates offside reviews, while the 48-team format and 104-match schedule increase overall exposure to these new review categories. Traders weigh these structural changes against the requirement that interventions remain quick and limited to clear errors, shaping consensus on total overturn volume.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問