The continuation of martial law in Ukraine amid its conflict with Russia stands as the central driver behind traders' 96.8% implied probability that President Zelenskyy will remain in office through June 30, 2026. Ukraine's constitution prohibits presidential elections during active martial law, which has extended the five-year term that originally ended in 2024 and left no national vote scheduled in the near term. Ongoing military operations and the absence of a verified ceasefire or major diplomatic shift have reinforced this structural barrier, limiting near-term pathways to leadership change. A negotiated settlement that ends hostilities and permits elections could still alter the timeline, though such developments face significant procedural and security hurdles before June 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$247,974 Vol.
$247,974 Vol.
2026/06/30
はい
$247,974 Vol.
$247,974 Vol.
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The continuation of martial law in Ukraine amid its conflict with Russia stands as the central driver behind traders' 96.8% implied probability that President Zelenskyy will remain in office through June 30, 2026. Ukraine's constitution prohibits presidential elections during active martial law, which has extended the five-year term that originally ended in 2024 and left no national vote scheduled in the near term. Ongoing military operations and the absence of a verified ceasefire or major diplomatic shift have reinforced this structural barrier, limiting near-term pathways to leadership change. A negotiated settlement that ends hostilities and permits elections could still alter the timeline, though such developments face significant procedural and security hurdles before June 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ET
音量
$247,974終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The continuation of martial law in Ukraine amid its conflict with Russia stands as the central driver behind traders' 96.8% implied probability that President Zelenskyy will remain in office through June 30, 2026. Ukraine's constitution prohibits presidential elections during active martial law, which has extended the five-year term that originally ended in 2024 and left no national vote scheduled in the near term. Ongoing military operations and the absence of a verified ceasefire or major diplomatic shift have reinforced this structural barrier, limiting near-term pathways to leadership change. A negotiated settlement that ends hostilities and permits elections could still alter the timeline, though such developments face significant procedural and security hurdles before June 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$247,974終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The continuation of martial law in Ukraine amid its conflict with Russia stands as the central driver behind traders' 96.8% implied probability that President Zelenskyy will remain in office through June 30, 2026. Ukraine's constitution prohibits presidential elections during active martial law, which has extended the five-year term that originally ended in 2024 and left no national vote scheduled in the near term. Ongoing military operations and the absence of a verified ceasefire or major diplomatic shift have reinforced this structural barrier, limiting near-term pathways to leadership change. A negotiated settlement that ends hostilities and permits elections could still alter the timeline, though such developments face significant procedural and security hurdles before June 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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