Stalled bilateral negotiations and Putin’s repeated insistence that any direct engagement with Zelenskyy occur only after a comprehensive peace agreement is finalized explain the near-certain trader consensus against a meeting by June 30, 2026. Recent U.S.-mediated talks in Geneva and Abu Dhabi produced only incremental humanitarian steps, such as the brief May 9–11 ceasefire and prisoner exchanges, without resolving core disputes over territory, security guarantees, or Ukrainian neutrality. Putin has publicly conditioned a summit on prior conclusion of a “lasting” treaty, while Zelenskyy continues to demand firm international assurances before any leadership-level encounter. With roughly six weeks remaining and no scheduled date or breakthrough framework in place, traders view the probability of sufficient progress as negligible. A sudden diplomatic acceleration yielding a signed accord before the deadline remains the sole realistic path that could still alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$268,151 Vol.
$268,151 Vol.
はい
$268,151 Vol.
$268,151 Vol.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Stalled bilateral negotiations and Putin’s repeated insistence that any direct engagement with Zelenskyy occur only after a comprehensive peace agreement is finalized explain the near-certain trader consensus against a meeting by June 30, 2026. Recent U.S.-mediated talks in Geneva and Abu Dhabi produced only incremental humanitarian steps, such as the brief May 9–11 ceasefire and prisoner exchanges, without resolving core disputes over territory, security guarantees, or Ukrainian neutrality. Putin has publicly conditioned a summit on prior conclusion of a “lasting” treaty, while Zelenskyy continues to demand firm international assurances before any leadership-level encounter. With roughly six weeks remaining and no scheduled date or breakthrough framework in place, traders view the probability of sufficient progress as negligible. A sudden diplomatic acceleration yielding a signed accord before the deadline remains the sole realistic path that could still alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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