The United States continues observing its voluntary nuclear testing moratorium since 1992, with no explosive tests conducted and NNSA confirming no active preparations despite authorization in the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act for potential underground detonations at Nevada National Security Site. President Trump's October 2025 vow to resume testing amid concerns over Russia and China activities persists as a backdrop, but Senator Jacky Rosen's April 13, 2026, site visit highlighted strong local and congressional opposition to radiation and economic risks. April 29 UN appeals reinforced global restraint. Traders eye FY2026 appropriations votes, DOE announcements, and executive actions as key catalysts, given technical readiness timelines of months to years per CSIS analysis.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$665,496 Vol.
2026/06/30
2026年6月30日
2%
2026年9月30日
6%
2026年12月31日
9%
$665,496 Vol.
2026年6月30日
$39,475 Vol.
2%
2026年9月30日
$5,584 Vol.
6%
2026年12月31日
$10,218 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The United States continues observing its voluntary nuclear testing moratorium since 1992, with no explosive tests conducted and NNSA confirming no active preparations despite authorization in the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act for potential underground detonations at Nevada National Security Site. President Trump's October 2025 vow to resume testing amid concerns over Russia and China activities persists as a backdrop, but Senator Jacky Rosen's April 13, 2026, site visit highlighted strong local and congressional opposition to radiation and economic risks. April 29 UN appeals reinforced global restraint. Traders eye FY2026 appropriations votes, DOE announcements, and executive actions as key catalysts, given technical readiness timelines of months to years per CSIS analysis.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
音量
$665,496終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The United States continues observing its voluntary nuclear testing moratorium since 1992, with no explosive tests conducted and NNSA confirming no active preparations despite authorization in the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act for potential underground detonations at Nevada National Security Site. President Trump's October 2025 vow to resume testing amid concerns over Russia and China activities persists as a backdrop, but Senator Jacky Rosen's April 13, 2026, site visit highlighted strong local and congressional opposition to radiation and economic risks. April 29 UN appeals reinforced global restraint. Traders eye FY2026 appropriations votes, DOE announcements, and executive actions as key catalysts, given technical readiness timelines of months to years per CSIS analysis.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$665,496終了日
2026/03/31マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The United States continues observing its voluntary nuclear testing moratorium since 1992, with no explosive tests conducted and NNSA confirming no active preparations despite authorization in the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act for potential underground detonations at Nevada National Security Site. President Trump's October 2025 vow to resume testing amid concerns over Russia and China activities persists as a backdrop, but Senator Jacky Rosen's April 13, 2026, site visit highlighted strong local and congressional opposition to radiation and economic risks. April 29 UN appeals reinforced global restraint. Traders eye FY2026 appropriations votes, DOE announcements, and executive actions as key catalysts, given technical readiness timelines of months to years per CSIS analysis.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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