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정치·대한민국

2026년 부산시장 선거 당선자

icon for 2026년 부산시장 선거 당선자
정치·대한민국

2026년 부산시장 선거 당선자

천제수 65%

박형준 34%

조경태 <1%

박성훈 <1%

Polymarket

$738,798 거래량

천제수 65%

박형준 34%

조경태 <1%

박성훈 <1%

Polymarket

$738,798 거래량

icon for 천제수

천제수

$68,784 거래량

65%

icon for 박형준

박형준

$48,315 거래량

34%

icon for 조경태

조경태

$29,280 거래량

<1%

icon for 박성훈

박성훈

$27,268 거래량

<1%

icon for 홍순헌

홍순헌

$26,102 거래량

<1%

icon for 조국

조국

$171,202 거래량

<1%

icon for 최인호

최인호

$60,394 거래량

<1%

icon for 이재성

이재성

$27,628 거래량

<1%

icon for 김도읍

김도읍

$37,542 거래량

<1%

icon for 서병수

서병수

$161,658 거래량

<1%

icon for 박재호

박재호

$48,115 거래량

<1%

icon for 김영춘

김영춘

$32,514 거래량

<1%

The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Chun Jae-soo, the Democratic Party of Korea candidate, holds a 65% implied probability to win the June 3 Busan mayoral election, ahead of incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon at 34%. Candidate registration opened in mid-May, followed by multiple TV debates that highlighted contrasts over maritime capital development, HMM headquarters relocation to Busan, youth asset policies, and stalled projects. Recent polls show a competitive race with Chun maintaining a modest lead that varies by survey method, while Park stresses continuity and "uninterrupted progress" for a third term. Traders appear to price in Democratic momentum and Chun's targeted pledges as key advantages in this Yeongnam contest, though the narrow polling margins leave room for shifts before election day.

The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
거래량
$738,798
종료일
2026.06.03
마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Chun Jae-soo, the Democratic Party of Korea candidate, holds a 65% implied probability to win the June 3 Busan mayoral election, ahead of incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon at 34%. Candidate registration opened in mid-May, followed by multiple TV debates that highlighted contrasts over maritime capital development, HMM headquarters relocation to Busan, youth asset policies, and stalled projects. Recent polls show a competitive race with Chun maintaining a modest lead that varies by survey method, while Park stresses continuity and "uninterrupted progress" for a third term. Traders appear to price in Democratic momentum and Chun's targeted pledges as key advantages in this Yeongnam contest, though the narrow polling margins leave room for shifts before election day.

The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
거래량
$738,798
종료일
2026.06.03
마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"2026년 부산시장 선거 당선자"은 12개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 65%의 "천제수"이며, 이어서 34%의 "박형준"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 65¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 65%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "2026년 부산시장 선거 당선자"은 총 $738.8K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Nov 13, 2025에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"2026년 부산시장 선거 당선자"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 12개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"2026년 부산시장 선거 당선자"의 현재 유력 후보는 65%의 "천제수"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 65%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 34%의 "박형준"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"2026년 부산시장 선거 당선자"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.