Brazilian Senate rules impose a high threshold for removing a Supreme Federal Court justice, requiring a two-thirds majority of 54 votes out of 81 that has never been met against any sitting justice in the modern era. Multiple impeachment petitions against Alexandre de Moraes remain stalled without scheduling or committee review, even after an April 2026 congressional inquiry commission report recommended proceedings tied to the Banco Master case. Recent actions by de Moraes, including his May 2026 suspension of legislation that could shorten Jair Bolsonaro’s sentence, have drawn opposition criticism but produced no measurable shift in Senate leadership priorities or vote commitments. Traders therefore assign an implied 79.5 percent probability that de Moraes will remain on the court through the end of 2026, reflecting the procedural and political realities that have consistently protected judicial tenure.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$27,471 거래량
$27,471 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$27,471 거래량
$27,471 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Brazilian Senate rules impose a high threshold for removing a Supreme Federal Court justice, requiring a two-thirds majority of 54 votes out of 81 that has never been met against any sitting justice in the modern era. Multiple impeachment petitions against Alexandre de Moraes remain stalled without scheduling or committee review, even after an April 2026 congressional inquiry commission report recommended proceedings tied to the Banco Master case. Recent actions by de Moraes, including his May 2026 suspension of legislation that could shorten Jair Bolsonaro’s sentence, have drawn opposition criticism but produced no measurable shift in Senate leadership priorities or vote commitments. Traders therefore assign an implied 79.5 percent probability that de Moraes will remain on the court through the end of 2026, reflecting the procedural and political realities that have consistently protected judicial tenure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
거래량
$27,471종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Brazilian Senate rules impose a high threshold for removing a Supreme Federal Court justice, requiring a two-thirds majority of 54 votes out of 81 that has never been met against any sitting justice in the modern era. Multiple impeachment petitions against Alexandre de Moraes remain stalled without scheduling or committee review, even after an April 2026 congressional inquiry commission report recommended proceedings tied to the Banco Master case. Recent actions by de Moraes, including his May 2026 suspension of legislation that could shorten Jair Bolsonaro’s sentence, have drawn opposition criticism but produced no measurable shift in Senate leadership priorities or vote commitments. Traders therefore assign an implied 79.5 percent probability that de Moraes will remain on the court through the end of 2026, reflecting the procedural and political realities that have consistently protected judicial tenure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$27,471종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazilian Senate rules impose a high threshold for removing a Supreme Federal Court justice, requiring a two-thirds majority of 54 votes out of 81 that has never been met against any sitting justice in the modern era. Multiple impeachment petitions against Alexandre de Moraes remain stalled without scheduling or committee review, even after an April 2026 congressional inquiry commission report recommended proceedings tied to the Banco Master case. Recent actions by de Moraes, including his May 2026 suspension of legislation that could shorten Jair Bolsonaro’s sentence, have drawn opposition criticism but produced no measurable shift in Senate leadership priorities or vote commitments. Traders therefore assign an implied 79.5 percent probability that de Moraes will remain on the court through the end of 2026, reflecting the procedural and political realities that have consistently protected judicial tenure.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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