The Justice Department's recent pursuits of perceived Trump adversaries, including a second indictment of former FBI Director James Comey in late April over a social media post and fraud charges against the Southern Poverty Law Center, have encountered repeated judicial pushback and grand jury rejections, such as failed attempts to charge Democratic lawmakers in February. These procedural hurdles and the time required for new federal investigations to reach indictment stage explain the strong trader consensus against additional charges by the May 31 deadline. With only two weeks remaining and no major announcements or filings reported in the past month, the current 82.5% implied probability on "No" captures the limited window for swift action amid ongoing court challenges and institutional constraints.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 28, 2026, 10:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Justice Department's recent pursuits of perceived Trump adversaries, including a second indictment of former FBI Director James Comey in late April over a social media post and fraud charges against the Southern Poverty Law Center, have encountered repeated judicial pushback and grand jury rejections, such as failed attempts to charge Democratic lawmakers in February. These procedural hurdles and the time required for new federal investigations to reach indictment stage explain the strong trader consensus against additional charges by the May 31 deadline. With only two weeks remaining and no major announcements or filings reported in the past month, the current 82.5% implied probability on "No" captures the limited window for swift action amid ongoing court challenges and institutional constraints.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문