The short timeframe remaining until May 31, combined with recent unsuccessful efforts by federal prosecutors to obtain indictments against individuals viewed as Trump adversaries, has shaped the 83 percent implied probability that no additional federal charges will be filed by the deadline. In recent weeks, grand juries rejected attempts to charge Democratic members of Congress over public statements on military orders, while several cases involving former officials such as James Comey faced dismissal on procedural grounds. Official Department of Justice actions have instead emphasized other priorities, with no confirmed announcements of new grand jury proceedings or indictments targeting additional political opponents in the immediate period ahead. These procedural outcomes and the compressed timeline inform the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.05.31
신규
신규
2026.05.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The short timeframe remaining until May 31, combined with recent unsuccessful efforts by federal prosecutors to obtain indictments against individuals viewed as Trump adversaries, has shaped the 83 percent implied probability that no additional federal charges will be filed by the deadline. In recent weeks, grand juries rejected attempts to charge Democratic members of Congress over public statements on military orders, while several cases involving former officials such as James Comey faced dismissal on procedural grounds. Official Department of Justice actions have instead emphasized other priorities, with no confirmed announcements of new grand jury proceedings or indictments targeting additional political opponents in the immediate period ahead. These procedural outcomes and the compressed timeline inform the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 28, 2026, 10:37 PM ET
거래량
$8,695종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 28, 2026, 10:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The short timeframe remaining until May 31, combined with recent unsuccessful efforts by federal prosecutors to obtain indictments against individuals viewed as Trump adversaries, has shaped the 83 percent implied probability that no additional federal charges will be filed by the deadline. In recent weeks, grand juries rejected attempts to charge Democratic members of Congress over public statements on military orders, while several cases involving former officials such as James Comey faced dismissal on procedural grounds. Official Department of Justice actions have instead emphasized other priorities, with no confirmed announcements of new grand jury proceedings or indictments targeting additional political opponents in the immediate period ahead. These procedural outcomes and the compressed timeline inform the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individuals in one or more of the following categories between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The covered categories are:
- Any individual who previously served as an investigator, special counsel, prosecutor, district attorney, attorney general, or equivalent official investigative or prosecutorial role in any criminal investigation or prosecution of Donald Trump.
- Any current or former United States Senator or United States Representative who was elected as a member of the Democratic Party or who caucused with the Democratic Party while serving in Congress.
- Any individual who served in a presidentially-appointed role in the federal government during the administration of President Joe Biden.
- Any of the following individuals: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Liz Cheney, Marjorie-Taylor Greene, John Bolton, Kamala Harris, Anthony Fauci, Michael Cohen.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$8,695종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 28, 2026, 10:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The short timeframe remaining until May 31, combined with recent unsuccessful efforts by federal prosecutors to obtain indictments against individuals viewed as Trump adversaries, has shaped the 83 percent implied probability that no additional federal charges will be filed by the deadline. In recent weeks, grand juries rejected attempts to charge Democratic members of Congress over public statements on military orders, while several cases involving former officials such as James Comey faced dismissal on procedural grounds. Official Department of Justice actions have instead emphasized other priorities, with no confirmed announcements of new grand jury proceedings or indictments targeting additional political opponents in the immediate period ahead. These procedural outcomes and the compressed timeline inform the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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