The Bank of England’s April 30 decision to hold the Bank Rate at 3.75% with an 8-1 vote, coupled with March CPI inflation at 3.3% and energy-price pass-through from the Middle East conflict, has anchored trader consensus at an 84.5% implied probability of no change at the June 18 meeting. Recent labor-market data showing regular earnings growth slowing to a five-year low of 3.6% further supports the view that policymakers will remain on hold rather than risk a premature tightening that could exacerbate downside growth risks. While Governor Bailey’s warnings of inflation potentially exceeding 3.5% later this year sustain the 14.5% odds on a 25-basis-point hike, the absence of fresh data releases sufficient to shift the balance keeps cut probabilities below 1%.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트변동 없음 85%
25bp 인상 15%
50bp 이상 인상 <1%
50bp 이상 인하 <1%
$147,279 거래량
$147,279 거래량
2026.06.18
50bp 이상 인하
<1%
25bp 인하
<1%
변동 없음
85%
25bp 인상
15%
50bp 이상 인상
1%
변동 없음 85%
25bp 인상 15%
50bp 이상 인상 <1%
50bp 이상 인하 <1%
$147,279 거래량
$147,279 거래량
2026.06.18
50bp 이상 인하
$24,993 거래량
<1%
25bp 인하
$25,323 거래량
<1%
변동 없음
$30,934 거래량
85%
25bp 인상
$41,099 거래량
15%
50bp 이상 인상
$24,931 거래량
1%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of England’s April 30 decision to hold the Bank Rate at 3.75% with an 8-1 vote, coupled with March CPI inflation at 3.3% and energy-price pass-through from the Middle East conflict, has anchored trader consensus at an 84.5% implied probability of no change at the June 18 meeting. Recent labor-market data showing regular earnings growth slowing to a five-year low of 3.6% further supports the view that policymakers will remain on hold rather than risk a premature tightening that could exacerbate downside growth risks. While Governor Bailey’s warnings of inflation potentially exceeding 3.5% later this year sustain the 14.5% odds on a 25-basis-point hike, the absence of fresh data releases sufficient to shift the balance keeps cut probabilities below 1%.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
거래량
$147,279종료일
2026.06.18마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of England’s April 30 decision to hold the Bank Rate at 3.75% with an 8-1 vote, coupled with March CPI inflation at 3.3% and energy-price pass-through from the Middle East conflict, has anchored trader consensus at an 84.5% implied probability of no change at the June 18 meeting. Recent labor-market data showing regular earnings growth slowing to a five-year low of 3.6% further supports the view that policymakers will remain on hold rather than risk a premature tightening that could exacerbate downside growth risks. While Governor Bailey’s warnings of inflation potentially exceeding 3.5% later this year sustain the 14.5% odds on a 25-basis-point hike, the absence of fresh data releases sufficient to shift the balance keeps cut probabilities below 1%.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$147,279종료일
2026.06.18마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of England’s April 30 decision to hold the Bank Rate at 3.75% with an 8-1 vote, coupled with March CPI inflation at 3.3% and energy-price pass-through from the Middle East conflict, has anchored trader consensus at an 84.5% implied probability of no change at the June 18 meeting. Recent labor-market data showing regular earnings growth slowing to a five-year low of 3.6% further supports the view that policymakers will remain on hold rather than risk a premature tightening that could exacerbate downside growth risks. While Governor Bailey’s warnings of inflation potentially exceeding 3.5% later this year sustain the 14.5% odds on a 25-basis-point hike, the absence of fresh data releases sufficient to shift the balance keeps cut probabilities below 1%.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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