The Bank of England's June 18 meeting carries an 85% market-implied probability of no change to the 3.75% Bank Rate, driven by the Monetary Policy Committee's 8-1 hold decision in late April and persistent inflation at 3.3% year-over-year. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have elevated energy prices, pushing up fuel and utility costs while wage growth has slowed to a five-year low, tempering broader price pressures. Traders assign 14.5% odds to a 25 basis point hike, reflecting Governor Bailey's caution on inflation risks exceeding 3.5% by year-end and potential upside surprises in upcoming April CPI and May labor data. Negligible probabilities for cuts underscore the BoE's data-dependent stance, with monetary policy expected to remain responsive to energy volatility rather than pre-committed to easing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트변동 없음 85%
25bp 인상 15%
50bp 이상 인상 <1%
50bp 이상 인하 <1%
$146,433 거래량
$146,433 거래량
2026.06.18
50bp 이상 인하
<1%
25bp 인하
<1%
변동 없음
85%
25bp 인상
15%
50bp 이상 인상
1%
변동 없음 85%
25bp 인상 15%
50bp 이상 인상 <1%
50bp 이상 인하 <1%
$146,433 거래량
$146,433 거래량
2026.06.18
50bp 이상 인하
$24,993 거래량
<1%
25bp 인하
$25,323 거래량
<1%
변동 없음
$30,928 거래량
85%
25bp 인상
$41,099 거래량
15%
50bp 이상 인상
$24,091 거래량
1%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of England's June 18 meeting carries an 85% market-implied probability of no change to the 3.75% Bank Rate, driven by the Monetary Policy Committee's 8-1 hold decision in late April and persistent inflation at 3.3% year-over-year. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have elevated energy prices, pushing up fuel and utility costs while wage growth has slowed to a five-year low, tempering broader price pressures. Traders assign 14.5% odds to a 25 basis point hike, reflecting Governor Bailey's caution on inflation risks exceeding 3.5% by year-end and potential upside surprises in upcoming April CPI and May labor data. Negligible probabilities for cuts underscore the BoE's data-dependent stance, with monetary policy expected to remain responsive to energy volatility rather than pre-committed to easing.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
거래량
$146,433종료일
2026.06.18마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of England's June 18 meeting carries an 85% market-implied probability of no change to the 3.75% Bank Rate, driven by the Monetary Policy Committee's 8-1 hold decision in late April and persistent inflation at 3.3% year-over-year. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have elevated energy prices, pushing up fuel and utility costs while wage growth has slowed to a five-year low, tempering broader price pressures. Traders assign 14.5% odds to a 25 basis point hike, reflecting Governor Bailey's caution on inflation risks exceeding 3.5% by year-end and potential upside surprises in upcoming April CPI and May labor data. Negligible probabilities for cuts underscore the BoE's data-dependent stance, with monetary policy expected to remain responsive to energy volatility rather than pre-committed to easing.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$146,433종료일
2026.06.18마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of England's June 18 meeting carries an 85% market-implied probability of no change to the 3.75% Bank Rate, driven by the Monetary Policy Committee's 8-1 hold decision in late April and persistent inflation at 3.3% year-over-year. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have elevated energy prices, pushing up fuel and utility costs while wage growth has slowed to a five-year low, tempering broader price pressures. Traders assign 14.5% odds to a 25 basis point hike, reflecting Governor Bailey's caution on inflation risks exceeding 3.5% by year-end and potential upside surprises in upcoming April CPI and May labor data. Negligible probabilities for cuts underscore the BoE's data-dependent stance, with monetary policy expected to remain responsive to energy volatility rather than pre-committed to easing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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