The primary driver behind the 84.5% market-implied probability of no change at the Bank of England’s June 18 meeting is the Monetary Policy Committee’s April 30 decision to hold the Bank Rate steady at 3.75%, coupled with March 2026 CPI data showing inflation rising to 3.3% year-over-year, largely from elevated energy and transport costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Traders view this as an “active hold” that balances persistent above-target inflation against softening domestic demand, with only modest 14.5% odds assigned to a 25-basis-point hike reflecting limited scope for an immediate aggressive response. Upcoming June data releases on inflation and labor-market conditions will shape whether the current pricing embeds sufficient caution ahead of potential later-year tightening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트변동 없음 85%
25bp 인상 15%
50bp 이상 인상 <1%
50bp 이상 인하 <1%
$147,275 거래량
$147,275 거래량
2026.06.18
50bp 이상 인하
<1%
25bp 인하
<1%
변동 없음
85%
25bp 인상
15%
50bp 이상 인상
1%
변동 없음 85%
25bp 인상 15%
50bp 이상 인상 <1%
50bp 이상 인하 <1%
$147,275 거래량
$147,275 거래량
2026.06.18
50bp 이상 인하
$24,993 거래량
<1%
25bp 인하
$25,323 거래량
<1%
변동 없음
$30,929 거래량
85%
25bp 인상
$41,099 거래량
15%
50bp 이상 인상
$24,931 거래량
1%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The primary driver behind the 84.5% market-implied probability of no change at the Bank of England’s June 18 meeting is the Monetary Policy Committee’s April 30 decision to hold the Bank Rate steady at 3.75%, coupled with March 2026 CPI data showing inflation rising to 3.3% year-over-year, largely from elevated energy and transport costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Traders view this as an “active hold” that balances persistent above-target inflation against softening domestic demand, with only modest 14.5% odds assigned to a 25-basis-point hike reflecting limited scope for an immediate aggressive response. Upcoming June data releases on inflation and labor-market conditions will shape whether the current pricing embeds sufficient caution ahead of potential later-year tightening.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
거래량
$147,275종료일
2026.06.18마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The primary driver behind the 84.5% market-implied probability of no change at the Bank of England’s June 18 meeting is the Monetary Policy Committee’s April 30 decision to hold the Bank Rate steady at 3.75%, coupled with March 2026 CPI data showing inflation rising to 3.3% year-over-year, largely from elevated energy and transport costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Traders view this as an “active hold” that balances persistent above-target inflation against softening domestic demand, with only modest 14.5% odds assigned to a 25-basis-point hike reflecting limited scope for an immediate aggressive response. Upcoming June data releases on inflation and labor-market conditions will shape whether the current pricing embeds sufficient caution ahead of potential later-year tightening.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$147,275종료일
2026.06.18마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The primary driver behind the 84.5% market-implied probability of no change at the Bank of England’s June 18 meeting is the Monetary Policy Committee’s April 30 decision to hold the Bank Rate steady at 3.75%, coupled with March 2026 CPI data showing inflation rising to 3.3% year-over-year, largely from elevated energy and transport costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. Traders view this as an “active hold” that balances persistent above-target inflation against softening domestic demand, with only modest 14.5% odds assigned to a 25-basis-point hike reflecting limited scope for an immediate aggressive response. Upcoming June data releases on inflation and labor-market conditions will shape whether the current pricing embeds sufficient caution ahead of potential later-year tightening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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