Supporters of California’s proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on residents with net worth above $1 billion submitted more than 1.5 million signatures in late April 2026, positioning the measure to qualify for the November 3, 2026 ballot following Secretary of State verification by June 25. The initiative, backed by SEIU-United Healthcare Workers West, would direct proceeds toward state-funded healthcare, education, and food assistance programs. Governor Gavin Newsom has voiced opposition, while competing ballot measures targeting taxes on personal assets have emerged to challenge it. Early polling indicates narrow voter support near 52%, yet substantial opposition spending and historical resistance to wealth-based levies have shaped trader consensus around a 63.5% implied probability that the measure will fail. Verification outcomes and subsequent campaign dynamics remain key variables ahead of the election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$3,285,996 거래량
$3,285,996 거래량
2026.11.03
예
$3,285,996 거래량
$3,285,996 거래량
2026.11.03
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Supporters of California’s proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on residents with net worth above $1 billion submitted more than 1.5 million signatures in late April 2026, positioning the measure to qualify for the November 3, 2026 ballot following Secretary of State verification by June 25. The initiative, backed by SEIU-United Healthcare Workers West, would direct proceeds toward state-funded healthcare, education, and food assistance programs. Governor Gavin Newsom has voiced opposition, while competing ballot measures targeting taxes on personal assets have emerged to challenge it. Early polling indicates narrow voter support near 52%, yet substantial opposition spending and historical resistance to wealth-based levies have shaped trader consensus around a 63.5% implied probability that the measure will fail. Verification outcomes and subsequent campaign dynamics remain key variables ahead of the election.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
거래량
$3,285,996종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Supporters of California’s proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on residents with net worth above $1 billion submitted more than 1.5 million signatures in late April 2026, positioning the measure to qualify for the November 3, 2026 ballot following Secretary of State verification by June 25. The initiative, backed by SEIU-United Healthcare Workers West, would direct proceeds toward state-funded healthcare, education, and food assistance programs. Governor Gavin Newsom has voiced opposition, while competing ballot measures targeting taxes on personal assets have emerged to challenge it. Early polling indicates narrow voter support near 52%, yet substantial opposition spending and historical resistance to wealth-based levies have shaped trader consensus around a 63.5% implied probability that the measure will fail. Verification outcomes and subsequent campaign dynamics remain key variables ahead of the election.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$3,285,996종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Supporters of California’s proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on residents with net worth above $1 billion submitted more than 1.5 million signatures in late April 2026, positioning the measure to qualify for the November 3, 2026 ballot following Secretary of State verification by June 25. The initiative, backed by SEIU-United Healthcare Workers West, would direct proceeds toward state-funded healthcare, education, and food assistance programs. Governor Gavin Newsom has voiced opposition, while competing ballot measures targeting taxes on personal assets have emerged to challenge it. Early polling indicates narrow voter support near 52%, yet substantial opposition spending and historical resistance to wealth-based levies have shaped trader consensus around a 63.5% implied probability that the measure will fail. Verification outcomes and subsequent campaign dynamics remain key variables ahead of the election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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