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불가리아 대통령 선거

icon for 불가리아 대통령 선거

불가리아 대통령 선거

일리아나 이오토바 61%

니콜라이 덴코프 10%

바사일 테르지에프 8.4%

로센 젤리아즈코프 5%

Polymarket

$103,560 거래량

일리아나 이오토바 61%

니콜라이 덴코프 10%

바사일 테르지에프 8.4%

로센 젤리아즈코프 5%

Polymarket

$103,560 거래량

icon for 일리아나 이오토바

일리아나 이오토바

$44,325 거래량

61%

icon for 니콜라이 덴코프

니콜라이 덴코프

$11,373 거래량

10%

icon for 바사일 테르지에프

바사일 테르지에프

$3,621 거래량

8%

icon for 로센 젤리아즈코프

로센 젤리아즈코프

$20,574 거래량

5%

icon for 보이코 보리소프

보이코 보리소프

$3,728 거래량

3%

icon for 블라고미르 코체프

블라고미르 코체프

$5,650 거래량

<1%

icon for 코스타딘 코스타디노프

코스타딘 코스타디노프

$2,419 거래량

<1%

icon for 아타나스 아타나소프

아타나스 아타나소프

$1,814 거래량

<1%

icon for 델리안 페브스키

델리안 페브스키

$1,668 거래량

<1%

icon for 로센 플레브넬리예프

로센 플레브넬리예프

$1,941 거래량

<1%

icon for 크룸 자르코프

크룸 자르코프

$2,260 거래량

<1%

icon for 야나키 스토일로프

야나키 스토일로프

$2,495 거래량

<1%

icon for 나탈리아 키셀로바

나탈리아 키셀로바

$1,692 거래량

<1%

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Incumbent Iliana Iotova holds a commanding position in the autumn 2026 Bulgarian presidential race, with traders assigning her a 60% implied probability. This stems primarily from the Progressive Bulgaria coalition’s outright parliamentary majority in the April 19 snap election, ending years of repeated votes and instability. As the sitting president and former vice president under Rumen Radev, Iotova benefits from that coalition’s momentum and recent mandate negotiations. Opposition figures trail sharply: Nikolai Denkov and Vassil Terziev of the weakened PP-DB bloc sit at 10.5% and 8.5%, while GERB-linked Rosen Zhelyazkov and Boyko Borissov register just 4.5% and 2.7% amid their party’s reduced standing. The fragmented field and timing before the presidential vote reinforce Iotova’s current lead in crowd-sourced pricing.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
거래량
$103,560
종료일
2026.11.30
마켓 개설일
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Incumbent Iliana Iotova holds a commanding position in the autumn 2026 Bulgarian presidential race, with traders assigning her a 60% implied probability. This stems primarily from the Progressive Bulgaria coalition’s outright parliamentary majority in the April 19 snap election, ending years of repeated votes and instability. As the sitting president and former vice president under Rumen Radev, Iotova benefits from that coalition’s momentum and recent mandate negotiations. Opposition figures trail sharply: Nikolai Denkov and Vassil Terziev of the weakened PP-DB bloc sit at 10.5% and 8.5%, while GERB-linked Rosen Zhelyazkov and Boyko Borissov register just 4.5% and 2.7% amid their party’s reduced standing. The fragmented field and timing before the presidential vote reinforce Iotova’s current lead in crowd-sourced pricing.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
거래량
$103,560
종료일
2026.11.30
마켓 개설일
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"불가리아 대통령 선거"은 13개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 61%의 "일리아나 이오토바"이며, 이어서 10%의 "니콜라이 덴코프"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 61¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 61%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "불가리아 대통령 선거"은 총 $103.6K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Jan 19, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"불가리아 대통령 선거"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 13개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"불가리아 대통령 선거"의 현재 유력 후보는 61%의 "일리아나 이오토바"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 61%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 10%의 "니콜라이 덴코프"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"불가리아 대통령 선거"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.