California's 17th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, anchored by heavy Democratic voter registration advantages, consistent performance in recent cycles, and incumbent Ro Khanna's strong name recognition across Silicon Valley communities. Traders have priced Democratic victory near 97 percent because the district's partisan voting index and historical margins leave minimal room for Republican inroads absent an extraordinary national shift. The June 2026 top-two primary features several Democratic challengers, yet Khanna's institutional support and fundraising edge have kept the general-election outlook stable. Only a late scandal, health issue, or abrupt withdrawal by the incumbent could realistically open a narrower path for a Republican nominee to reach November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
2%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$7,587 거래량
97%
Republican Party
$0 거래량
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 17th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, anchored by heavy Democratic voter registration advantages, consistent performance in recent cycles, and incumbent Ro Khanna's strong name recognition across Silicon Valley communities. Traders have priced Democratic victory near 97 percent because the district's partisan voting index and historical margins leave minimal room for Republican inroads absent an extraordinary national shift. The June 2026 top-two primary features several Democratic challengers, yet Khanna's institutional support and fundraising edge have kept the general-election outlook stable. Only a late scandal, health issue, or abrupt withdrawal by the incumbent could realistically open a narrower path for a Republican nominee to reach November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
거래량
$7,587종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 17th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, anchored by heavy Democratic voter registration advantages, consistent performance in recent cycles, and incumbent Ro Khanna's strong name recognition across Silicon Valley communities. Traders have priced Democratic victory near 97 percent because the district's partisan voting index and historical margins leave minimal room for Republican inroads absent an extraordinary national shift. The June 2026 top-two primary features several Democratic challengers, yet Khanna's institutional support and fundraising edge have kept the general-election outlook stable. Only a late scandal, health issue, or abrupt withdrawal by the incumbent could realistically open a narrower path for a Republican nominee to reach November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$7,587종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 17th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, anchored by heavy Democratic voter registration advantages, consistent performance in recent cycles, and incumbent Ro Khanna's strong name recognition across Silicon Valley communities. Traders have priced Democratic victory near 97 percent because the district's partisan voting index and historical margins leave minimal room for Republican inroads absent an extraordinary national shift. The June 2026 top-two primary features several Democratic challengers, yet Khanna's institutional support and fundraising edge have kept the general-election outlook stable. Only a late scandal, health issue, or abrupt withdrawal by the incumbent could realistically open a narrower path for a Republican nominee to reach November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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