Recent polling and modeling for Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote project turnout near 55 percent of the roughly 41.5 million registered voters, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 54-57 percent band. This range reflects historical first-round averages and the modest lift in participation typically seen when presidential contests replace lower-profile legislative elections, where abstention exceeded 50 percent in March. A consolidated three-candidate field and tightening polls on voter enthusiasm have further supported expectations in this interval, while the absence of major last-minute disruptions or mobilization surges has kept alternative bands at lower implied probabilities. Traders view the 54-57 percent outcome as the most consistent with these steady indicators ahead of election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트54-57% 51%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
60%+ 17.0%
신규
신규
2026.05.31
<48%
5%
48-51%
17%
51-54%
21%
54-57%
58%
57-60%
13%
60%+
17%
54-57% 51%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
60%+ 17.0%
신규
신규
2026.05.31
<48%
$436 거래량
5%
48-51%
$428 거래량
17%
51-54%
$420 거래량
21%
54-57%
$441 거래량
58%
57-60%
$420 거래량
13%
60%+
$489 거래량
17%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling and modeling for Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote project turnout near 55 percent of the roughly 41.5 million registered voters, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 54-57 percent band. This range reflects historical first-round averages and the modest lift in participation typically seen when presidential contests replace lower-profile legislative elections, where abstention exceeded 50 percent in March. A consolidated three-candidate field and tightening polls on voter enthusiasm have further supported expectations in this interval, while the absence of major last-minute disruptions or mobilization surges has kept alternative bands at lower implied probabilities. Traders view the 54-57 percent outcome as the most consistent with these steady indicators ahead of election day.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
마켓 개설일: Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
거래량
$2,634종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling and modeling for Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote project turnout near 55 percent of the roughly 41.5 million registered voters, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 54-57 percent band. This range reflects historical first-round averages and the modest lift in participation typically seen when presidential contests replace lower-profile legislative elections, where abstention exceeded 50 percent in March. A consolidated three-candidate field and tightening polls on voter enthusiasm have further supported expectations in this interval, while the absence of major last-minute disruptions or mobilization surges has kept alternative bands at lower implied probabilities. Traders view the 54-57 percent outcome as the most consistent with these steady indicators ahead of election day.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
거래량
$2,634종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling and modeling for Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote project turnout near 55 percent of the roughly 41.5 million registered voters, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 54-57 percent band. This range reflects historical first-round averages and the modest lift in participation typically seen when presidential contests replace lower-profile legislative elections, where abstention exceeded 50 percent in March. A consolidated three-candidate field and tightening polls on voter enthusiasm have further supported expectations in this interval, while the absence of major last-minute disruptions or mobilization surges has kept alternative bands at lower implied probabilities. Traders view the 54-57 percent outcome as the most consistent with these steady indicators ahead of election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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