Trader consensus on Daniel Noboa remaining Ecuador’s president through June 30 stems from his decisive April 2025 re-election, which delivered a clear mandate and legislative backing for his full term ending in 2029. No impeachment proceedings or recall referendum has advanced far enough to meet the constitutional threshold of signatures from roughly 10 percent of registered voters in the limited time available. Ongoing security operations and state-of-emergency measures have kept opposition efforts focused on long-term political pressure rather than immediate removal. While a sudden health event, major scandal, or unexpected court intervention could still shift the outcome, current institutional and electoral realities make such developments highly unlikely before the deadline.