Recent polling indicates Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan holds a narrow first-preference lead in the Dublin Central by-election, yet traders assign Daniel Ennis of the Social Democrats the strongest probability of victory. This positioning stems from Ireland’s single transferable vote system, where Ennis is expected to attract the bulk of transfers from eliminated left-leaning candidates including those of the Green Party, Labour, and People Before Profit. Gerry Hutch’s independent candidacy sits third on first preferences but remains a distant market contender, with his later transfers unlikely to alter the front-runner dynamic decisively. The May 22 contest remains fluid given the fragmented field and typical volatility in by-election turnout patterns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트다니엘 에니스 68%
재니스 보일런 19.1%
게리 허치 11.6%
레이 맥아담 1.7%
$1,087,222 거래량
$1,087,222 거래량
2026.12.31
다니엘 에니스
68%
재니스 보일런
19%
게리 허치
12%
레이 맥아담
2%
자넷 호너
1%
길리언 셰럿
1%
말라키 스틴슨
1%
Ian Noel Smyth
<1%
에오언 오 캐너반
<1%
Séamas McGrattan
<1%
메리 피츠패트릭
<1%
존 스티븐스
<1%
다니엘 에니스 68%
재니스 보일런 19.1%
게리 허치 11.6%
레이 맥아담 1.7%
$1,087,222 거래량
$1,087,222 거래량
2026.12.31
다니엘 에니스
$33,324 거래량
68%
재니스 보일런
$17,880 거래량
19%
게리 허치
$508,746 거래량
12%
레이 맥아담
$34,450 거래량
2%
자넷 호너
$13,848 거래량
1%
길리언 셰럿
$182,749 거래량
1%
말라키 스틴슨
$20,917 거래량
1%
Ian Noel Smyth
$13,515 거래량
<1%
에오언 오 캐너반
$53,116 거래량
<1%
Séamas McGrattan
$9,470 거래량
<1%
메리 피츠패트릭
$45,266 거래량
<1%
존 스티븐스
$153,944 거래량
<1%
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Recent polling indicates Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan holds a narrow first-preference lead in the Dublin Central by-election, yet traders assign Daniel Ennis of the Social Democrats the strongest probability of victory. This positioning stems from Ireland’s single transferable vote system, where Ennis is expected to attract the bulk of transfers from eliminated left-leaning candidates including those of the Green Party, Labour, and People Before Profit. Gerry Hutch’s independent candidacy sits third on first preferences but remains a distant market contender, with his later transfers unlikely to alter the front-runner dynamic decisively. The May 22 contest remains fluid given the fragmented field and typical volatility in by-election turnout patterns.
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
마켓 개설일: Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET
거래량
$1,087,222종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Recent polling indicates Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan holds a narrow first-preference lead in the Dublin Central by-election, yet traders assign Daniel Ennis of the Social Democrats the strongest probability of victory. This positioning stems from Ireland’s single transferable vote system, where Ennis is expected to attract the bulk of transfers from eliminated left-leaning candidates including those of the Green Party, Labour, and People Before Profit. Gerry Hutch’s independent candidacy sits third on first preferences but remains a distant market contender, with his later transfers unlikely to alter the front-runner dynamic decisively. The May 22 contest remains fluid given the fragmented field and typical volatility in by-election turnout patterns.
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
거래량
$1,087,222종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling indicates Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan holds a narrow first-preference lead in the Dublin Central by-election, yet traders assign Daniel Ennis of the Social Democrats the strongest probability of victory. This positioning stems from Ireland’s single transferable vote system, where Ennis is expected to attract the bulk of transfers from eliminated left-leaning candidates including those of the Green Party, Labour, and People Before Profit. Gerry Hutch’s independent candidacy sits third on first preferences but remains a distant market contender, with his later transfers unlikely to alter the front-runner dynamic decisively. The May 22 contest remains fluid given the fragmented field and typical volatility in by-election turnout patterns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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