Recent polling shows Mike Collins maintaining a narrow lead over Derek Dooley in the Georgia Republican Senate primary, with Governor Brian Kemp’s endorsement and increased television advertising lifting Dooley into a stronger second-place position just days before the May 19 vote. High undecided voter shares and limited name recognition among the broader field continue to keep the contest tight, while Collins benefits from stronger recent fundraising and established House record. The possibility of a June 16 runoff if no candidate reaches a majority further sustains uncertainty, as last-minute campaign pushes across the state could shift support among primary voters. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing captures this closely matched dynamic ahead of election day.