Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service converge on daytime highs of 29–31°C for Ankara on July 9, reflecting a cooling trend after early-July peaks above 30°C driven by a weak upper-level trough and northerly flow. This keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered around those outcomes, with traders monitoring potential model revisions on steering patterns, boundary-layer mixing, and clear-sky solar heating. Historical July averages near 29–30°C provide context, while short-range uncertainty in trough timing and local urban effects could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Ankara on July 9?
31°C 40%
30°C 37%
29°C 20%
32°C 8%
28°C or below
4%
29°C
14%
30°C
37%
31°C
40%
32°C
8%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 40%
30°C 37%
29°C 20%
32°C 8%
28°C or below
4%
29°C
14%
30°C
37%
31°C
40%
32°C
8%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service converge on daytime highs of 29–31°C for Ankara on July 9, reflecting a cooling trend after early-July peaks above 30°C driven by a weak upper-level trough and northerly flow. This keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered around those outcomes, with traders monitoring potential model revisions on steering patterns, boundary-layer mixing, and clear-sky solar heating. Historical July averages near 29–30°C provide context, while short-range uncertainty in trough timing and local urban effects could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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