Recent monsoon advancement across northern India has introduced widespread cloud cover and scattered showers over Uttar Pradesh, moderating afternoon heating and anchoring trader focus on the 31–33°C range for Lucknow’s July 8 maximum. Ensemble forecasts show the monsoon trough positioned near the region, limiting surface insolation while raising humidity and triggering localized convection that caps peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced solar radiation. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness: stronger or earlier precipitation favors the lower 31°C bin, whereas delayed or lighter activity supports 32–33°C. Historical July averages near 34°C underscore how active monsoon conditions this week are compressing probabilities around these thresholds ahead of updated IMD model runs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 8?
31°C 34%
32°C 28%
30°C 15%
33°C 15%
$11,080 거래량
$11,080 거래량
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
15%
31°C
34%
32°C
28%
33°C
15%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 34%
32°C 28%
30°C 15%
33°C 15%
$11,080 거래량
$11,080 거래량
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
15%
31°C
34%
32°C
28%
33°C
15%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent monsoon advancement across northern India has introduced widespread cloud cover and scattered showers over Uttar Pradesh, moderating afternoon heating and anchoring trader focus on the 31–33°C range for Lucknow’s July 8 maximum. Ensemble forecasts show the monsoon trough positioned near the region, limiting surface insolation while raising humidity and triggering localized convection that caps peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced solar radiation. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness: stronger or earlier precipitation favors the lower 31°C bin, whereas delayed or lighter activity supports 32–33°C. Historical July averages near 34°C underscore how active monsoon conditions this week are compressing probabilities around these thresholds ahead of updated IMD model runs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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