Trader consensus favors a 23–24°C high for Mexico City on July 8 because official forecasts and ensemble models place the maximum in that narrow band amid the North American monsoon’s influence. Afternoon convective clouds and showers, common in July at 2,240 m elevation, limit peak insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping most days from exceeding the mid-20s. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which accounts for the tight spread across 22–25°C outcomes. Historical July climatology reinforces this clustering, with 22–26°C encompassing the large majority of observed daily maxima. Updated CONAGUA and global guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key variable for final resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 8?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 8?
24°C 31%
23°C 30%
25°C 14%
22°C 13%
신규
신규
2026.07.08
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
13%
23°C
30%
24°C
31%
25°C
14%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 31%
23°C 30%
25°C 14%
22°C 13%
신규
신규
2026.07.08
18°C or below
$66 거래량
<1%
19°C
$88 거래량
1%
20°C
$277 거래량
2%
21°C
$481 거래량
3%
22°C
$575 거래량
13%
23°C
$2,245 거래량
30%
24°C
$523 거래량
31%
25°C
$158 거래량
14%
26°C
$270 거래량
3%
27°C
$218 거래량
<1%
28°C or higher
$68 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a 23–24°C high for Mexico City on July 8 because official forecasts and ensemble models place the maximum in that narrow band amid the North American monsoon’s influence. Afternoon convective clouds and showers, common in July at 2,240 m elevation, limit peak insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping most days from exceeding the mid-20s. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which accounts for the tight spread across 22–25°C outcomes. Historical July climatology reinforces this clustering, with 22–26°C encompassing the large majority of observed daily maxima. Updated CONAGUA and global guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key variable for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
거래량
$4,969종료일
2026.07.08마켓 개설일
Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a 23–24°C high for Mexico City on July 8 because official forecasts and ensemble models place the maximum in that narrow band amid the North American monsoon’s influence. Afternoon convective clouds and showers, common in July at 2,240 m elevation, limit peak insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping most days from exceeding the mid-20s. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which accounts for the tight spread across 22–25°C outcomes. Historical July climatology reinforces this clustering, with 22–26°C encompassing the large majority of observed daily maxima. Updated CONAGUA and global guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key variable for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$4,969종료일
2026.07.08마켓 개설일
Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ETTrader consensus favors a 23–24°C high for Mexico City on July 8 because official forecasts and ensemble models place the maximum in that narrow band amid the North American monsoon’s influence. Afternoon convective clouds and showers, common in July at 2,240 m elevation, limit peak insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping most days from exceeding the mid-20s. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which accounts for the tight spread across 22–25°C outcomes. Historical July climatology reinforces this clustering, with 22–26°C encompassing the large majority of observed daily maxima. Updated CONAGUA and global guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key variable for final resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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