Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, alongside official guidance from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather, point to a July 9 high near 36°C under continued high-pressure influence from a subtropical ridge. This setup promotes subsidence warming and clear skies across the Po Valley, with light easterly winds limiting cooling and enhancing Milan’s urban heat island effect. July 8 peaks near 38–39°C before modest moderation on the 9th, consistent with the market’s concentration around 34–36°C outcomes. Trader consensus reflects low ensemble spread at these levels, though minor shifts in model runs or afternoon cloud development could adjust the exact maximum before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Milan on July 9?
34°C 41%
35°C 26%
33°C 25%
32°C or below 9%
32°C or below
9%
33°C
25%
34°C
41%
35°C
26%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
34°C 41%
35°C 26%
33°C 25%
32°C or below 9%
32°C or below
9%
33°C
25%
34°C
41%
35°C
26%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, alongside official guidance from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather, point to a July 9 high near 36°C under continued high-pressure influence from a subtropical ridge. This setup promotes subsidence warming and clear skies across the Po Valley, with light easterly winds limiting cooling and enhancing Milan’s urban heat island effect. July 8 peaks near 38–39°C before modest moderation on the 9th, consistent with the market’s concentration around 34–36°C outcomes. Trader consensus reflects low ensemble spread at these levels, though minor shifts in model runs or afternoon cloud development could adjust the exact maximum before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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