Forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and timeanddate.com indicate Warsaw's June 20 high will likely reach 30–32°C under sunny conditions with light winds, driven by a warming trend and high-pressure influence advecting warmer air masses. This aligns with the market's concentration on 30–32°C outcomes (collectively over 80% implied probability), reflecting model consensus from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF on peak daytime temperatures. Recent stabilization in short-range guidance, with June 19 highs already climbing toward 27–29°C, has reinforced trader focus on these values while capping odds on extremes above 33°C or below 29°C. Historical June averages near 22°C provide context for the anomaly, though uncertainty in exact model runs could still shift the official reading by 1–2°C before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 20?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 20?
31°C 39%
32°C 22%
30°C 20%
29°C 13%
신규
신규
2026.06.20
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
13%
30°C
20%
31°C
39%
32°C
22%
33°C
12%
34°C or higher
6%
31°C 39%
32°C 22%
30°C 20%
29°C 13%
신규
신규
2026.06.20
24°C or below
$0 거래량
1%
25°C
$0 거래량
1%
26°C
$0 거래량
1%
27°C
$5 거래량
1%
28°C
$0 거래량
9%
29°C
$0 거래량
13%
30°C
$6 거래량
20%
31°C
$23 거래량
39%
32°C
$6 거래량
22%
33°C
$0 거래량
12%
34°C or higher
$99 거래량
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and timeanddate.com indicate Warsaw's June 20 high will likely reach 30–32°C under sunny conditions with light winds, driven by a warming trend and high-pressure influence advecting warmer air masses. This aligns with the market's concentration on 30–32°C outcomes (collectively over 80% implied probability), reflecting model consensus from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF on peak daytime temperatures. Recent stabilization in short-range guidance, with June 19 highs already climbing toward 27–29°C, has reinforced trader focus on these values while capping odds on extremes above 33°C or below 29°C. Historical June averages near 22°C provide context for the anomaly, though uncertainty in exact model runs could still shift the official reading by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$73종료일
2026.06.20마켓 개설일
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and timeanddate.com indicate Warsaw's June 20 high will likely reach 30–32°C under sunny conditions with light winds, driven by a warming trend and high-pressure influence advecting warmer air masses. This aligns with the market's concentration on 30–32°C outcomes (collectively over 80% implied probability), reflecting model consensus from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF on peak daytime temperatures. Recent stabilization in short-range guidance, with June 19 highs already climbing toward 27–29°C, has reinforced trader focus on these values while capping odds on extremes above 33°C or below 29°C. Historical June averages near 22°C provide context for the anomaly, though uncertainty in exact model runs could still shift the official reading by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$73종료일
2026.06.20마켓 개설일
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETForecasts from sources including BBC Weather and timeanddate.com indicate Warsaw's June 20 high will likely reach 30–32°C under sunny conditions with light winds, driven by a warming trend and high-pressure influence advecting warmer air masses. This aligns with the market's concentration on 30–32°C outcomes (collectively over 80% implied probability), reflecting model consensus from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF on peak daytime temperatures. Recent stabilization in short-range guidance, with June 19 highs already climbing toward 27–29°C, has reinforced trader focus on these values while capping odds on extremes above 33°C or below 29°C. Historical June averages near 22°C provide context for the anomaly, though uncertainty in exact model runs could still shift the official reading by 1–2°C before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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