Iowa's 3rd congressional district remains a closely contested race heading into the June primaries, with Republican incumbent Zach Nunn seeking reelection in a seat rated toss-up by the Cook Political Report after shifting from lean Republican. Recent developments include the impact of federal tariff policies on Iowa's agriculture sector and a competitive gubernatorial contest featuring Democratic state auditor Rob Sand, both of which have contributed to voter concerns over economic conditions. Democratic primary contenders Sarah Trone Garriott and Xavier Carrigan are positioning for a general election matchup, with historical polling and special election overperformance by Iowa Democrats supporting the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing. Upcoming primary outcomes and national midterm dynamics could further influence positioning before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
61%
Republican Party
37%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$907 거래량
61%
Republican Party
$955 거래량
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 3rd congressional district remains a closely contested race heading into the June primaries, with Republican incumbent Zach Nunn seeking reelection in a seat rated toss-up by the Cook Political Report after shifting from lean Republican. Recent developments include the impact of federal tariff policies on Iowa's agriculture sector and a competitive gubernatorial contest featuring Democratic state auditor Rob Sand, both of which have contributed to voter concerns over economic conditions. Democratic primary contenders Sarah Trone Garriott and Xavier Carrigan are positioning for a general election matchup, with historical polling and special election overperformance by Iowa Democrats supporting the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing. Upcoming primary outcomes and national midterm dynamics could further influence positioning before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
거래량
$1,862종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 3rd congressional district remains a closely contested race heading into the June primaries, with Republican incumbent Zach Nunn seeking reelection in a seat rated toss-up by the Cook Political Report after shifting from lean Republican. Recent developments include the impact of federal tariff policies on Iowa's agriculture sector and a competitive gubernatorial contest featuring Democratic state auditor Rob Sand, both of which have contributed to voter concerns over economic conditions. Democratic primary contenders Sarah Trone Garriott and Xavier Carrigan are positioning for a general election matchup, with historical polling and special election overperformance by Iowa Democrats supporting the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing. Upcoming primary outcomes and national midterm dynamics could further influence positioning before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$1,862종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's 3rd congressional district remains a closely contested race heading into the June primaries, with Republican incumbent Zach Nunn seeking reelection in a seat rated toss-up by the Cook Political Report after shifting from lean Republican. Recent developments include the impact of federal tariff policies on Iowa's agriculture sector and a competitive gubernatorial contest featuring Democratic state auditor Rob Sand, both of which have contributed to voter concerns over economic conditions. Democratic primary contenders Sarah Trone Garriott and Xavier Carrigan are positioning for a general election matchup, with historical polling and special election overperformance by Iowa Democrats supporting the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing. Upcoming primary outcomes and national midterm dynamics could further influence positioning before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문