U.S. authorities captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 military operation and transferred him to New York for prosecution on federal charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons offenses. After entering not guilty pleas, defense motions to dismiss key counts were denied in late March, yet the next hearing was postponed until June 30 with no trial date set. Traders assign an 87.5 percent implied probability to Maduro avoiding conviction on every count because prosecutors confront substantial evidentiary hurdles proving the terrorism nexus, amid limited historical success for such prosecutions under the 2006 statute, ongoing disputes over defense resources, and the realistic prospect of plea negotiations or partial verdicts rather than unanimous guilty findings on all charges.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$102,599 거래량
$102,599 거래량
2027.12.31
예
$102,599 거래량
$102,599 거래량
2027.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.U.S. authorities captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 military operation and transferred him to New York for prosecution on federal charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons offenses. After entering not guilty pleas, defense motions to dismiss key counts were denied in late March, yet the next hearing was postponed until June 30 with no trial date set. Traders assign an 87.5 percent implied probability to Maduro avoiding conviction on every count because prosecutors confront substantial evidentiary hurdles proving the terrorism nexus, amid limited historical success for such prosecutions under the 2006 statute, ongoing disputes over defense resources, and the realistic prospect of plea negotiations or partial verdicts rather than unanimous guilty findings on all charges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
거래량
$102,599종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.U.S. authorities captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 military operation and transferred him to New York for prosecution on federal charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons offenses. After entering not guilty pleas, defense motions to dismiss key counts were denied in late March, yet the next hearing was postponed until June 30 with no trial date set. Traders assign an 87.5 percent implied probability to Maduro avoiding conviction on every count because prosecutors confront substantial evidentiary hurdles proving the terrorism nexus, amid limited historical success for such prosecutions under the 2006 statute, ongoing disputes over defense resources, and the realistic prospect of plea negotiations or partial verdicts rather than unanimous guilty findings on all charges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$102,599종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. authorities captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 military operation and transferred him to New York for prosecution on federal charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons offenses. After entering not guilty pleas, defense motions to dismiss key counts were denied in late March, yet the next hearing was postponed until June 30 with no trial date set. Traders assign an 87.5 percent implied probability to Maduro avoiding conviction on every count because prosecutors confront substantial evidentiary hurdles proving the terrorism nexus, amid limited historical success for such prosecutions under the 2006 statute, ongoing disputes over defense resources, and the realistic prospect of plea negotiations or partial verdicts rather than unanimous guilty findings on all charges.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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