Recent April CPI data showed a 0.6% month-over-month increase, easing from March's 0.9% but lifting the annual rate to 3.8% amid energy price spikes tied to geopolitical tensions. This outcome anchors trader positioning, with 0.5% and 0.6% outcomes trading near parity as markets weigh potential moderation in gasoline costs against sticky shelter and services inflation. Core measures rose 0.4% last month, above consensus, while base effects and seasonal factors introduce volatility for May. The May release, due June 10, will clarify whether the recent surge proves transitory or signals broader persistence, shaping near-term monetary policy expectations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트0.6% 42%
0.5% 35%
0.4% 14%
0.7% 9%
≤0.1%
4%
0.2%
7%
0.3%
9%
0.4%
14%
0.5%
35%
0.6%
41%
0.7%
9%
0.8%
5%
≥0.9%
7%
0.6% 42%
0.5% 35%
0.4% 14%
0.7% 9%
≤0.1%
4%
0.2%
7%
0.3%
9%
0.4%
14%
0.5%
35%
0.6%
41%
0.7%
9%
0.8%
5%
≥0.9%
7%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April CPI data showed a 0.6% month-over-month increase, easing from March's 0.9% but lifting the annual rate to 3.8% amid energy price spikes tied to geopolitical tensions. This outcome anchors trader positioning, with 0.5% and 0.6% outcomes trading near parity as markets weigh potential moderation in gasoline costs against sticky shelter and services inflation. Core measures rose 0.4% last month, above consensus, while base effects and seasonal factors introduce volatility for May. The May release, due June 10, will clarify whether the recent surge proves transitory or signals broader persistence, shaping near-term monetary policy expectations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문