Recent April 2026 data showed Mexico's headline inflation easing to 4.45% year-over-year from 4.59% in March, with core measures declining to 4.26%, prompting traders to cluster probabilities around the 4.00-4.99% bands. Upward revisions in Banxico economist surveys lifted the 2026 year-end forecast to 4.37%, reflecting persistent non-core pressures and sticky services inflation despite peso stability and contained wage growth. Market-implied odds remain tightly contested between the two leading ranges because incoming monthly prints and potential Banxico rate adjustments could still steer the annual average toward either side of 4.5%, while longer-term convergence to the 3% target hinges on sustained labor market moderation and global energy trends.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4.50%에서 4.99% 37%
3.50%에서 3.99% 16.2%
5.00%에서 5.49% 15.9%
5.50% 이상 10%
$41,235 거래량
$41,235 거래량
2.50% 미만
5%
2.50%에서 2.99%
<1%
3.00%에서 3.49%
7%
3.50%에서 3.99%
9%
4.00%에서 4.49%
40%
4.50%에서 4.99%
37%
5.00%에서 5.49%
16%
5.50% 이상
10%
4.50%에서 4.99% 37%
3.50%에서 3.99% 16.2%
5.00%에서 5.49% 15.9%
5.50% 이상 10%
$41,235 거래량
$41,235 거래량
2.50% 미만
5%
2.50%에서 2.99%
<1%
3.00%에서 3.49%
7%
3.50%에서 3.99%
9%
4.00%에서 4.49%
40%
4.50%에서 4.99%
37%
5.00%에서 5.49%
16%
5.50% 이상
10%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
마켓 개설일: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent April 2026 data showed Mexico's headline inflation easing to 4.45% year-over-year from 4.59% in March, with core measures declining to 4.26%, prompting traders to cluster probabilities around the 4.00-4.99% bands. Upward revisions in Banxico economist surveys lifted the 2026 year-end forecast to 4.37%, reflecting persistent non-core pressures and sticky services inflation despite peso stability and contained wage growth. Market-implied odds remain tightly contested between the two leading ranges because incoming monthly prints and potential Banxico rate adjustments could still steer the annual average toward either side of 4.5%, while longer-term convergence to the 3% target hinges on sustained labor market moderation and global energy trends.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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