The open U.S. Senate seat in Michigan, following incumbent Gary Peters’ retirement announcement, has produced a competitive general election environment in a state Donald Trump carried by a narrow margin in 2024. Republican nominee Mike Rogers, returning after his 2024 loss, faces one of three leading Democratic primary contenders—Haley Stevens, Mallory McMorrow, or Abdul El-Sayed—after the August 4 primary. Recent head-to-head polling shows narrow Democratic advantages in several matchups, including a one-point gap favoring El-Sayed, while race ratings from Cook and others classify the contest as a toss-up. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 74 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the party’s slight edge in battleground polling aggregates and historical performance in similar open-seat cycles.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$113,130 거래량
$113,130 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
74%
공화당
27%
$113,130 거래량
$113,130 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$81,666 거래량
74%
공화당
$31,464 거래량
27%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open U.S. Senate seat in Michigan, following incumbent Gary Peters’ retirement announcement, has produced a competitive general election environment in a state Donald Trump carried by a narrow margin in 2024. Republican nominee Mike Rogers, returning after his 2024 loss, faces one of three leading Democratic primary contenders—Haley Stevens, Mallory McMorrow, or Abdul El-Sayed—after the August 4 primary. Recent head-to-head polling shows narrow Democratic advantages in several matchups, including a one-point gap favoring El-Sayed, while race ratings from Cook and others classify the contest as a toss-up. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 74 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the party’s slight edge in battleground polling aggregates and historical performance in similar open-seat cycles.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
거래량
$113,130종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open U.S. Senate seat in Michigan, following incumbent Gary Peters’ retirement announcement, has produced a competitive general election environment in a state Donald Trump carried by a narrow margin in 2024. Republican nominee Mike Rogers, returning after his 2024 loss, faces one of three leading Democratic primary contenders—Haley Stevens, Mallory McMorrow, or Abdul El-Sayed—after the August 4 primary. Recent head-to-head polling shows narrow Democratic advantages in several matchups, including a one-point gap favoring El-Sayed, while race ratings from Cook and others classify the contest as a toss-up. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 74 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the party’s slight edge in battleground polling aggregates and historical performance in similar open-seat cycles.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$113,130종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open U.S. Senate seat in Michigan, following incumbent Gary Peters’ retirement announcement, has produced a competitive general election environment in a state Donald Trump carried by a narrow margin in 2024. Republican nominee Mike Rogers, returning after his 2024 loss, faces one of three leading Democratic primary contenders—Haley Stevens, Mallory McMorrow, or Abdul El-Sayed—after the August 4 primary. Recent head-to-head polling shows narrow Democratic advantages in several matchups, including a one-point gap favoring El-Sayed, while race ratings from Cook and others classify the contest as a toss-up. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 74 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the party’s slight edge in battleground polling aggregates and historical performance in similar open-seat cycles.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문