Keir Starmer's Labour government faces its gravest leadership crisis since taking power in 2024, triggered by devastating losses in May 2026 local elections across England, Scotland, and Wales, prompting over 80 MPs and junior ministerial resignations to demand his resignation. Starmer insists the threshold for a formal leadership challenge—requiring 81 MPs' nominations—remains unmet and vows to fight on, fueling trader consensus for a tight race with no new prime minister in 2026 at 23.5% alongside near-parity for Andy Burnham (23.4%) and Ed Miliband (21.6%). Wes Streeting's reported preparations to resign and run keep his 14% viable, amid party factions lacking a unifying figure. A key Streeting move, Burnham's potential parliamentary return, or King's Speech fallout could decisively shift odds in this fluid parliamentary confidence scenario.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 차기 총리 없음 24%
앤디 버넘 23.4%
에드 밀리밴드 21.6%
웨스 스트리팅 13%
$6,130,926 거래량
$6,130,926 거래량
2026년 차기 총리 없음
24%
앤디 버넘
23%
에드 밀리밴드
22%
웨스 스트리팅
13%
앤젤라 레이너
11%
알 칸즈
5%
이베트 쿠퍼
2%
샤바나 마무드
2%
나이절 파라지
1%
루시 파월
1%
데이비드 래미
<1%
레이첼 리브스
<1%
케미 바데녹
<1%
브리짓 필립슨
<1%
대런 존스
<1%
보리스 존슨
<1%
에드 데이비
<1%
루퍼트 로우
<1%
로버트 제너릭
<1%
제임스 클레벌리
<1%
Person A
<1%
2026년 차기 총리 없음 24%
앤디 버넘 23.4%
에드 밀리밴드 21.6%
웨스 스트리팅 13%
$6,130,926 거래량
$6,130,926 거래량
2026년 차기 총리 없음
24%
앤디 버넘
23%
에드 밀리밴드
22%
웨스 스트리팅
13%
앤젤라 레이너
11%
알 칸즈
5%
이베트 쿠퍼
2%
샤바나 마무드
2%
나이절 파라지
1%
루시 파월
1%
데이비드 래미
<1%
레이첼 리브스
<1%
케미 바데녹
<1%
브리짓 필립슨
<1%
대런 존스
<1%
보리스 존슨
<1%
에드 데이비
<1%
루퍼트 로우
<1%
로버트 제너릭
<1%
제임스 클레벌리
<1%
Person A
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Keir Starmer's Labour government faces its gravest leadership crisis since taking power in 2024, triggered by devastating losses in May 2026 local elections across England, Scotland, and Wales, prompting over 80 MPs and junior ministerial resignations to demand his resignation. Starmer insists the threshold for a formal leadership challenge—requiring 81 MPs' nominations—remains unmet and vows to fight on, fueling trader consensus for a tight race with no new prime minister in 2026 at 23.5% alongside near-parity for Andy Burnham (23.4%) and Ed Miliband (21.6%). Wes Streeting's reported preparations to resign and run keep his 14% viable, amid party factions lacking a unifying figure. A key Streeting move, Burnham's potential parliamentary return, or King's Speech fallout could decisively shift odds in this fluid parliamentary confidence scenario.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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