Recent Labour Party turmoil following disappointing local election results has intensified speculation over Keir Starmer’s future, driving trader consensus toward Andy Burnham as the leading candidate for next prime minister in 2026. Burnham’s strong polling among party members, combined with his allies’ plans for a swift return to Parliament via the Makerfield by-election expected in June, has positioned him ahead of other contenders. Wes Streeting’s recent cabinet resignation and Angela Rayner’s resolution of prior tax matters have added to the list of potential challengers, while the market’s “no change” outcome reflects uncertainty over whether a leadership contest will conclude before year-end. Historical precedent for swift internal shifts and the upcoming by-election timeline further shape these probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트앤디 버넘 56.3%
2026년 차기 총리 없음 13%
앤젤라 레이너 11%
웨스 스트리팅 10%
$7,248,963 거래량
$7,248,963 거래량
앤디 버넘
56%
2026년 차기 총리 없음
13%
앤젤라 레이너
11%
웨스 스트리팅
10%
에드 밀리밴드
7%
알 칸즈
2%
나이절 파라지
1%
샤바나 마무드
1%
이베트 쿠퍼
1%
루시 파월
<1%
루퍼트 로우
<1%
레이첼 리브스
<1%
케미 바데녹
<1%
보리스 존슨
<1%
에드 데이비
<1%
브리짓 필립슨
<1%
로버트 제너릭
<1%
데이비드 래미
<1%
제임스 클레벌리
<1%
대런 존스
<1%
존 힐리
<1%
앤디 버넘 56.3%
2026년 차기 총리 없음 13%
앤젤라 레이너 11%
웨스 스트리팅 10%
$7,248,963 거래량
$7,248,963 거래량
앤디 버넘
56%
2026년 차기 총리 없음
13%
앤젤라 레이너
11%
웨스 스트리팅
10%
에드 밀리밴드
7%
알 칸즈
2%
나이절 파라지
1%
샤바나 마무드
1%
이베트 쿠퍼
1%
루시 파월
<1%
루퍼트 로우
<1%
레이첼 리브스
<1%
케미 바데녹
<1%
보리스 존슨
<1%
에드 데이비
<1%
브리짓 필립슨
<1%
로버트 제너릭
<1%
데이비드 래미
<1%
제임스 클레벌리
<1%
대런 존스
<1%
존 힐리
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Labour Party turmoil following disappointing local election results has intensified speculation over Keir Starmer’s future, driving trader consensus toward Andy Burnham as the leading candidate for next prime minister in 2026. Burnham’s strong polling among party members, combined with his allies’ plans for a swift return to Parliament via the Makerfield by-election expected in June, has positioned him ahead of other contenders. Wes Streeting’s recent cabinet resignation and Angela Rayner’s resolution of prior tax matters have added to the list of potential challengers, while the market’s “no change” outcome reflects uncertainty over whether a leadership contest will conclude before year-end. Historical precedent for swift internal shifts and the upcoming by-election timeline further shape these probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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