Former North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper maintains a steady polling lead of 8 to 11 points over Republican Michael Whatley in recent surveys of likely voters, driving trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee in this open-seat contest. The race follows Republican incumbent Thom Tillis's decision not to seek reelection after the March primaries, where Cooper secured the Democratic nomination with minimal opposition and Whatley prevailed on the Republican side with endorsement from President Trump. Multiple April and May 2026 polls, including those from Harper, High Point University, and Opinion Diagnostics, show Cooper near 50 percent support, reflecting his strong statewide name recognition and history of winning in a state that has leaned Republican in presidential elections. While Whatley's party ties and recruitment efforts provide a competitive base, the current margin and Cook Political Report's lean-Democratic rating underpin the elevated probability for a Democratic victory in November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$58,403 거래량
$58,403 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
85%
공화당
17%
$58,403 거래량
$58,403 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$24,125 거래량
85%
공화당
$34,278 거래량
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper maintains a steady polling lead of 8 to 11 points over Republican Michael Whatley in recent surveys of likely voters, driving trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee in this open-seat contest. The race follows Republican incumbent Thom Tillis's decision not to seek reelection after the March primaries, where Cooper secured the Democratic nomination with minimal opposition and Whatley prevailed on the Republican side with endorsement from President Trump. Multiple April and May 2026 polls, including those from Harper, High Point University, and Opinion Diagnostics, show Cooper near 50 percent support, reflecting his strong statewide name recognition and history of winning in a state that has leaned Republican in presidential elections. While Whatley's party ties and recruitment efforts provide a competitive base, the current margin and Cook Political Report's lean-Democratic rating underpin the elevated probability for a Democratic victory in November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
거래량
$58,403종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper maintains a steady polling lead of 8 to 11 points over Republican Michael Whatley in recent surveys of likely voters, driving trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee in this open-seat contest. The race follows Republican incumbent Thom Tillis's decision not to seek reelection after the March primaries, where Cooper secured the Democratic nomination with minimal opposition and Whatley prevailed on the Republican side with endorsement from President Trump. Multiple April and May 2026 polls, including those from Harper, High Point University, and Opinion Diagnostics, show Cooper near 50 percent support, reflecting his strong statewide name recognition and history of winning in a state that has leaned Republican in presidential elections. While Whatley's party ties and recruitment efforts provide a competitive base, the current margin and Cook Political Report's lean-Democratic rating underpin the elevated probability for a Democratic victory in November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$58,403종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper maintains a steady polling lead of 8 to 11 points over Republican Michael Whatley in recent surveys of likely voters, driving trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee in this open-seat contest. The race follows Republican incumbent Thom Tillis's decision not to seek reelection after the March primaries, where Cooper secured the Democratic nomination with minimal opposition and Whatley prevailed on the Republican side with endorsement from President Trump. Multiple April and May 2026 polls, including those from Harper, High Point University, and Opinion Diagnostics, show Cooper near 50 percent support, reflecting his strong statewide name recognition and history of winning in a state that has leaned Republican in presidential elections. While Whatley's party ties and recruitment efforts provide a competitive base, the current margin and Cook Political Report's lean-Democratic rating underpin the elevated probability for a Democratic victory in November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문