Trump's late-May endorsement of retired Lt. Col. David Flippo as an "America First Patriot" has driven trader consensus toward an 79% implied probability for the retired officer in Nevada's open 2nd Congressional District Republican primary. The endorsement elevated Flippo's standing in a crowded field against former state Sen. James Settelmeyer, who holds backing from retiring Rep. Mark Amodei and Gov. Joe Lombardo. The June 9 primary tested these alignments in the northern Nevada district, with remaining candidates drawing minimal support. Recent campaign events and residency questions around Flippo have not shifted the positioning established by the presidential signal and institutional endorsements.