Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat leads trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability in the NY-13 Democratic primary due to his longstanding advantages in the diverse, renter-heavy district, including deep ties to the Dominican community, superior cash on hand exceeding $1 million, and recent endorsements from the Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC—announced today praising his immigrant advocacy and anti-Trump record—along with the Congressional Black Caucus and Hispanic Caucus. Challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier, a DSA-backed community organizer at 28.5%, gained visibility from an April internal poll showing her trailing 28-42% initially but leading 46-35% after messaging, plus support from Our Revolution and Justice Democrats; however, traders discount the poll's viability amid Espaillat's incumbency edge ahead of the June 23 primary.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트애드리아노 에스파이야트 71%
다리아리자 아빌라 셰발리에 29%
오스카 로메로 1.6%
테오 치노-타바레즈 <1%
$22,629 거래량
$22,629 거래량
애드리아노 에스파이야트
71%
다리아리자 아빌라 셰발리에
29%
오스카 로메로
2%
테오 치노-타바레즈
<1%
메건 로드리게즈
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
맷 밀러
<1%
애드리아노 에스파이야트 71%
다리아리자 아빌라 셰발리에 29%
오스카 로메로 1.6%
테오 치노-타바레즈 <1%
$22,629 거래량
$22,629 거래량
애드리아노 에스파이야트
71%
다리아리자 아빌라 셰발리에
29%
오스카 로메로
2%
테오 치노-타바레즈
<1%
메건 로드리게즈
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
맷 밀러
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat leads trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability in the NY-13 Democratic primary due to his longstanding advantages in the diverse, renter-heavy district, including deep ties to the Dominican community, superior cash on hand exceeding $1 million, and recent endorsements from the Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC—announced today praising his immigrant advocacy and anti-Trump record—along with the Congressional Black Caucus and Hispanic Caucus. Challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier, a DSA-backed community organizer at 28.5%, gained visibility from an April internal poll showing her trailing 28-42% initially but leading 46-35% after messaging, plus support from Our Revolution and Justice Democrats; however, traders discount the poll's viability amid Espaillat's incumbency edge ahead of the June 23 primary.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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