Christine Drazan dominates trader consensus at 84.5% implied probability in the Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary set for May 19, driven by consistent polling leads from late April surveys like Nelson Research, where she captured nearly 37% including leaners among likely GOP voters, far ahead of rivals. As the 2022 nominee who nearly defeated Democrat Tina Kotek with 43.5% statewide, Drazan benefits from high name recognition, endorsements from outlets like The Oregonian and Willamette Week, and strong fundraising. State Rep. Ed Diehl trails at 13.1% on his ballot measure activism against a $4 billion tax hike, while recent debates on May 5 highlighted policy contrasts on taxes, public safety, and education without eroding her advantage. With ballots mailed since April 29, low-turnout dynamics favor established frontrunners amid undecided voters.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트크리스틴 드라잔 85%
에드 딜 13.0%
크리스 더들리 2.9%
다니엘 베셀 <1%
$113,136 거래량
$113,136 거래량
크리스틴 드라잔
85%
에드 딜
13%
크리스 더들리
3%
다니엘 베셀
1%
카일 듀이크
<1%
로버트 뉴먼
<1%
차엘 소넨
<1%
Caleb Kintz
<1%
브래드 T. 피터스
<1%
데이비드 메디나
<1%
패트릭 콥케-헤일스
<1%
크리스틴 드라잔 85%
에드 딜 13.0%
크리스 더들리 2.9%
다니엘 베셀 <1%
$113,136 거래량
$113,136 거래량
크리스틴 드라잔
85%
에드 딜
13%
크리스 더들리
3%
다니엘 베셀
1%
카일 듀이크
<1%
로버트 뉴먼
<1%
차엘 소넨
<1%
Caleb Kintz
<1%
브래드 T. 피터스
<1%
데이비드 메디나
<1%
패트릭 콥케-헤일스
<1%
If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
마켓 개설일: Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Christine Drazan dominates trader consensus at 84.5% implied probability in the Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary set for May 19, driven by consistent polling leads from late April surveys like Nelson Research, where she captured nearly 37% including leaners among likely GOP voters, far ahead of rivals. As the 2022 nominee who nearly defeated Democrat Tina Kotek with 43.5% statewide, Drazan benefits from high name recognition, endorsements from outlets like The Oregonian and Willamette Week, and strong fundraising. State Rep. Ed Diehl trails at 13.1% on his ballot measure activism against a $4 billion tax hike, while recent debates on May 5 highlighted policy contrasts on taxes, public safety, and education without eroding her advantage. With ballots mailed since April 29, low-turnout dynamics favor established frontrunners amid undecided voters.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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