Incumbent Ritchie Torres commands 92% trader consensus in the NY-15 Democratic primary due to his massive fundraising edge—$14.7 million cash on hand as of late March—paired with incumbency advantages and endorsements like former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's. Recent developments reinforcing this include public defender Dalourny Nemorin's April 23 campaign suspension, narrowing the field and limiting progressive alternatives, while main challenger former Assemblymember Michael Blake trails at 6% despite UNITE HERE Local 100's endorsement. With the June 23 primary approaching, scenarios like a late scandal hitting Torres, surge in anti-Israel turnout, or major Blake endorsements could challenge this dominance, though historical incumbent reelection rates in safe districts favor continuity.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트리치 토레스 92%
마이클 블레이크 5.5%
Dalourny Nemorin 1.7%
아만다 셉티모 <1%
$29,991 거래량
$29,991 거래량
리치 토레스
92%
마이클 블레이크
6%
Dalourny Nemorin
2%
아만다 셉티모
<1%
리치 토레스 92%
마이클 블레이크 5.5%
Dalourny Nemorin 1.7%
아만다 셉티모 <1%
$29,991 거래량
$29,991 거래량
리치 토레스
92%
마이클 블레이크
6%
Dalourny Nemorin
2%
아만다 셉티모
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ritchie Torres commands 92% trader consensus in the NY-15 Democratic primary due to his massive fundraising edge—$14.7 million cash on hand as of late March—paired with incumbency advantages and endorsements like former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's. Recent developments reinforcing this include public defender Dalourny Nemorin's April 23 campaign suspension, narrowing the field and limiting progressive alternatives, while main challenger former Assemblymember Michael Blake trails at 6% despite UNITE HERE Local 100's endorsement. With the June 23 primary approaching, scenarios like a late scandal hitting Torres, surge in anti-Israel turnout, or major Blake endorsements could challenge this dominance, though historical incumbent reelection rates in safe districts favor continuity.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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