Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro's commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91.5%, stems from consistent double-digit polling leads averaging +20 over Republican State Treasurer Stacy Garrity, including a March Susquehanna poll showing 58%-36% and earlier Quinnipiac results at 55%-37%. Shapiro's 56%-60% approval ratings, fundraising dominance, and 2022 landslide victory bolster his incumbency advantage in this battleground state. With the GOP primary on May 19 set to confirm Garrity amid her 97% prediction market lock, the general election on November 3 appears tilted. Scenarios like a major scandal, economic downturn, or national GOP wave could challenge this, though historical re-election patterns favor incumbents.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$17,169 거래량
$17,169 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
92%
공화당
6%
$17,169 거래량
$17,169 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$6,411 거래량
92%
공화당
$10,758 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro's commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91.5%, stems from consistent double-digit polling leads averaging +20 over Republican State Treasurer Stacy Garrity, including a March Susquehanna poll showing 58%-36% and earlier Quinnipiac results at 55%-37%. Shapiro's 56%-60% approval ratings, fundraising dominance, and 2022 landslide victory bolster his incumbency advantage in this battleground state. With the GOP primary on May 19 set to confirm Garrity amid her 97% prediction market lock, the general election on November 3 appears tilted. Scenarios like a major scandal, economic downturn, or national GOP wave could challenge this, though historical re-election patterns favor incumbents.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
거래량
$17,169종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro's commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91.5%, stems from consistent double-digit polling leads averaging +20 over Republican State Treasurer Stacy Garrity, including a March Susquehanna poll showing 58%-36% and earlier Quinnipiac results at 55%-37%. Shapiro's 56%-60% approval ratings, fundraising dominance, and 2022 landslide victory bolster his incumbency advantage in this battleground state. With the GOP primary on May 19 set to confirm Garrity amid her 97% prediction market lock, the general election on November 3 appears tilted. Scenarios like a major scandal, economic downturn, or national GOP wave could challenge this, though historical re-election patterns favor incumbents.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$17,169종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro's commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91.5%, stems from consistent double-digit polling leads averaging +20 over Republican State Treasurer Stacy Garrity, including a March Susquehanna poll showing 58%-36% and earlier Quinnipiac results at 55%-37%. Shapiro's 56%-60% approval ratings, fundraising dominance, and 2022 landslide victory bolster his incumbency advantage in this battleground state. With the GOP primary on May 19 set to confirm Garrity amid her 97% prediction market lock, the general election on November 3 appears tilted. Scenarios like a major scandal, economic downturn, or national GOP wave could challenge this, though historical re-election patterns favor incumbents.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문