South Africa’s 2026 inflation outlook remains finely balanced around the South African Reserve Bank’s 3% target amid recent data and external pressures. March 2026 CPI rose modestly to 3.1% from 3.0% in February, reflecting stable food prices offset by early pass-through from elevated global oil amid Middle East tensions. Economists have lifted 2026 forecasts toward 3.4% while noting the possibility of stabilization near the upper end of the target band if energy costs persist. With leading market-implied odds clustered tightly between sub-2.6% and 2.9-3.2% ranges, trader positioning reflects competing views on whether subdued domestic momentum will dominate or whether sustained crude-price volatility will push readings higher before the year-end print.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2.6-2.9% 27.5%
4.4-4.7% 9.4%
3.5-3.8% 7.1%
4.7~5.0% 3.0%
$21,325 거래량
$21,325 거래량
2027.01.20
2.6% 미만
37%
2.6-2.9%
28%
2.9-3.2%
43%
3.2-3.5%
28%
3.5-3.8%
16%
3.8-4.1%
34%
4.1-4.4%
37%
4.4-4.7%
9%
4.7~5.0%
22%
>5.0%
35%
2.6-2.9% 27.5%
4.4-4.7% 9.4%
3.5-3.8% 7.1%
4.7~5.0% 3.0%
$21,325 거래량
$21,325 거래량
2027.01.20
2.6% 미만
$262 거래량
37%
2.6-2.9%
$277 거래량
28%
2.9-3.2%
$364 거래량
43%
3.2-3.5%
$364 거래량
28%
3.5-3.8%
$466 거래량
16%
3.8-4.1%
$656 거래량
34%
4.1-4.4%
$534 거래량
37%
4.4-4.7%
$12,090 거래량
9%
4.7~5.0%
$368 거래량
22%
>5.0%
$5,943 거래량
35%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa’s 2026 inflation outlook remains finely balanced around the South African Reserve Bank’s 3% target amid recent data and external pressures. March 2026 CPI rose modestly to 3.1% from 3.0% in February, reflecting stable food prices offset by early pass-through from elevated global oil amid Middle East tensions. Economists have lifted 2026 forecasts toward 3.4% while noting the possibility of stabilization near the upper end of the target band if energy costs persist. With leading market-implied odds clustered tightly between sub-2.6% and 2.9-3.2% ranges, trader positioning reflects competing views on whether subdued domestic momentum will dominate or whether sustained crude-price volatility will push readings higher before the year-end print.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
마켓 개설일: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
거래량
$21,325종료일
2027.01.20마켓 개설일
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa’s 2026 inflation outlook remains finely balanced around the South African Reserve Bank’s 3% target amid recent data and external pressures. March 2026 CPI rose modestly to 3.1% from 3.0% in February, reflecting stable food prices offset by early pass-through from elevated global oil amid Middle East tensions. Economists have lifted 2026 forecasts toward 3.4% while noting the possibility of stabilization near the upper end of the target band if energy costs persist. With leading market-implied odds clustered tightly between sub-2.6% and 2.9-3.2% ranges, trader positioning reflects competing views on whether subdued domestic momentum will dominate or whether sustained crude-price volatility will push readings higher before the year-end print.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
거래량
$21,325종료일
2027.01.20마켓 개설일
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Africa’s 2026 inflation outlook remains finely balanced around the South African Reserve Bank’s 3% target amid recent data and external pressures. March 2026 CPI rose modestly to 3.1% from 3.0% in February, reflecting stable food prices offset by early pass-through from elevated global oil amid Middle East tensions. Economists have lifted 2026 forecasts toward 3.4% while noting the possibility of stabilization near the upper end of the target band if energy costs persist. With leading market-implied odds clustered tightly between sub-2.6% and 2.9-3.2% ranges, trader positioning reflects competing views on whether subdued domestic momentum will dominate or whether sustained crude-price volatility will push readings higher before the year-end print.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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