Recent polls place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of late June 2026, with averages near 38% amid net disapproval in the upper 50s. Trader sentiment for the July 3 reading remains tightly balanced across 38–40 ranges because economic concerns, particularly inflation and cost-of-living pressures, continue to weigh on support while partisan divides limit further erosion. Developments in the Iran conflict and mixed signals on border security and the economy have produced incremental weekly fluctuations rather than decisive shifts. With only days until the target date, any new national survey releases or major policy announcements could separate the leading bins by altering the final weekly average.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트39.5–39.9 50%
40.0+ 49%
39.0–39.4 48%
<38.0 45%
<38.0
45%
38.0–38.4
45%
38.5–38.9
45%
39.0–39.4
48%
39.5–39.9
50%
40.0+
49%
39.5–39.9 50%
40.0+ 49%
39.0–39.4 48%
<38.0 45%
<38.0
45%
38.0–38.4
45%
38.5–38.9
45%
39.0–39.4
48%
39.5–39.9
50%
40.0+
49%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
마켓 개설일: Jun 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of late June 2026, with averages near 38% amid net disapproval in the upper 50s. Trader sentiment for the July 3 reading remains tightly balanced across 38–40 ranges because economic concerns, particularly inflation and cost-of-living pressures, continue to weigh on support while partisan divides limit further erosion. Developments in the Iran conflict and mixed signals on border security and the economy have produced incremental weekly fluctuations rather than decisive shifts. With only days until the target date, any new national survey releases or major policy announcements could separate the leading bins by altering the final weekly average.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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