Trump’s active Truth Social presence and ongoing Iran negotiations remain the dominant drivers of sentiment in this word-or-phrase market. Fresh threats to resume strikes if proxies in Lebanon act up, combined with mixed signals about the June 15 memorandum of understanding and Strait of Hormuz access, have traders focused on recurring terms such as “deal,” “strike,” “proxies,” and “catastrophe.” Executive-order signings and a scheduled June 24 rally appearance add potential platforms for signature phrasing. Historical patterns show Trump’s rhetoric often escalates or pivots quickly during live diplomatic moments, creating swing factors around any new Vance or G7 updates before the week closes. Traders weigh these catalysts against the market’s short resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Six Seven
32%
Uranium
50%
Golf
99%
Traitor
30%
Antifa
26%
Third World
33%
Women's Sports
100%
Nothing ever happens
14%
Maduro
47%
Dell
47%
Make America Healthy Again
100%
Drill baby drill
100%
Boom / Booming
68%
Messi
25%
Ronaldo
26%
$3,385 거래량
Six Seven
32%
Uranium
50%
Golf
99%
Traitor
30%
Antifa
26%
Third World
33%
Women's Sports
100%
Nothing ever happens
14%
Maduro
47%
Dell
47%
Make America Healthy Again
100%
Drill baby drill
100%
Boom / Booming
68%
Messi
25%
Ronaldo
26%
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
마켓 개설일: Jun 22, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s active Truth Social presence and ongoing Iran negotiations remain the dominant drivers of sentiment in this word-or-phrase market. Fresh threats to resume strikes if proxies in Lebanon act up, combined with mixed signals about the June 15 memorandum of understanding and Strait of Hormuz access, have traders focused on recurring terms such as “deal,” “strike,” “proxies,” and “catastrophe.” Executive-order signings and a scheduled June 24 rally appearance add potential platforms for signature phrasing. Historical patterns show Trump’s rhetoric often escalates or pivots quickly during live diplomatic moments, creating swing factors around any new Vance or G7 updates before the week closes. Traders weigh these catalysts against the market’s short resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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