Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) now operates in memorial mode following his reported death in early 2026, shifting to sporadic archival reposts and occasional statements rather than daily original content. Recent comparable weekly periods show low output—often under 10 posts—driven by the leadership transition to Mojtaba Khamenei, whose own account faces health-related constraints, and the absence of acute new triggers requiring frequent official messaging. Trader consensus clusters tightly around the <5 and 5-9 bins because historical patterns in this post-martyrdom phase favor minimal activity absent major escalations. Separation could emerge from diplomatic summits, missile exchanges, or religious observances falling inside the June 26–July 3 window that prompt coordinated statements or reposts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트하메네이 # 포스트 2026년 6월 26일 - 7월 3일?
<5 71%
20-24 7%
5-9 6%
10-14 6%
<5
71%
5-9
6%
10-14
6%
15-19
6%
20-24
7%
25-29
5%
30-34
4%
35-39
3%
40-44
3%
45-49
2%
50-54
4%
55-59
2%
60+
1%
<5 71%
20-24 7%
5-9 6%
10-14 6%
<5
71%
5-9
6%
10-14
6%
15-19
6%
20-24
7%
25-29
5%
30-34
4%
35-39
3%
40-44
3%
45-49
2%
50-54
4%
55-59
2%
60+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Jun 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) now operates in memorial mode following his reported death in early 2026, shifting to sporadic archival reposts and occasional statements rather than daily original content. Recent comparable weekly periods show low output—often under 10 posts—driven by the leadership transition to Mojtaba Khamenei, whose own account faces health-related constraints, and the absence of acute new triggers requiring frequent official messaging. Trader consensus clusters tightly around the <5 and 5-9 bins because historical patterns in this post-martyrdom phase favor minimal activity absent major escalations. Separation could emerge from diplomatic summits, missile exchanges, or religious observances falling inside the June 26–July 3 window that prompt coordinated statements or reposts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문