Trader sentiment on whether President Trump's likeness will appear on a U.S. Mint gold coin by July 4, 2026, remains closely balanced at 50.5% implied probability for "No," driven by an ongoing federal lawsuit alleging violation of statutes barring living persons from U.S. currency, with a preliminary injunction ruling pending that could derail production mere weeks before the semiquincentennial deadline. The Commission of Fine Arts approved the 24-karat commemorative design in March, clearing the Mint for a limited run, but no official minting start or release confirmation has emerged amid procedural delays in the case filed by critic Matthew Rickher. Odds could shift toward "Yes" on Treasury announcements of striking commencement or injunction denial; toward "No" if courts block it or logistical hurdles persist for the collector coin.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$16,675 거래량
$16,675 거래량
2026.07.04
예
$16,675 거래량
$16,675 거래량
2026.07.04
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on whether President Trump's likeness will appear on a U.S. Mint gold coin by July 4, 2026, remains closely balanced at 50.5% implied probability for "No," driven by an ongoing federal lawsuit alleging violation of statutes barring living persons from U.S. currency, with a preliminary injunction ruling pending that could derail production mere weeks before the semiquincentennial deadline. The Commission of Fine Arts approved the 24-karat commemorative design in March, clearing the Mint for a limited run, but no official minting start or release confirmation has emerged amid procedural delays in the case filed by critic Matthew Rickher. Odds could shift toward "Yes" on Treasury announcements of striking commencement or injunction denial; toward "No" if courts block it or logistical hurdles persist for the collector coin.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 20, 2026, 5:05 PM ET
거래량
$16,675종료일
2026.07.04마켓 개설일
Mar 20, 2026, 5:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on whether President Trump's likeness will appear on a U.S. Mint gold coin by July 4, 2026, remains closely balanced at 50.5% implied probability for "No," driven by an ongoing federal lawsuit alleging violation of statutes barring living persons from U.S. currency, with a preliminary injunction ruling pending that could derail production mere weeks before the semiquincentennial deadline. The Commission of Fine Arts approved the 24-karat commemorative design in March, clearing the Mint for a limited run, but no official minting start or release confirmation has emerged amid procedural delays in the case filed by critic Matthew Rickher. Odds could shift toward "Yes" on Treasury announcements of striking commencement or injunction denial; toward "No" if courts block it or logistical hurdles persist for the collector coin.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$16,675종료일
2026.07.04마켓 개설일
Mar 20, 2026, 5:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on whether President Trump's likeness will appear on a U.S. Mint gold coin by July 4, 2026, remains closely balanced at 50.5% implied probability for "No," driven by an ongoing federal lawsuit alleging violation of statutes barring living persons from U.S. currency, with a preliminary injunction ruling pending that could derail production mere weeks before the semiquincentennial deadline. The Commission of Fine Arts approved the 24-karat commemorative design in March, clearing the Mint for a limited run, but no official minting start or release confirmation has emerged amid procedural delays in the case filed by critic Matthew Rickher. Odds could shift toward "Yes" on Treasury announcements of striking commencement or injunction denial; toward "No" if courts block it or logistical hurdles persist for the collector coin.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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