Ongoing US-Iran negotiations center on a potential memorandum of understanding that US officials describe as leading to Washington obtaining Iran's stockpile of highly enriched uranium, with provisions for on-site destruction and removal. Recent statements from the Trump administration highlight progress toward a framework agreement, including a 60-day period for technical details on dismantling aspects of Iran's nuclear program and verification. Iran has signaled preference for down-blending material domestically under inspectors rather than direct transfer. These diplomatic developments, alongside paused considerations of alternative seizure options, shape trader assessments of timelines for any transfer by year-end or sooner. Resolution depends on final commitments amid ongoing talks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$26,448,849 거래량
7월 31일
6%
6월 30일
2%
12월 31일
19%
$26,448,849 거래량
7월 31일
6%
6월 30일
2%
12월 31일
19%
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 17, 2026, 11:47 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations center on a potential memorandum of understanding that US officials describe as leading to Washington obtaining Iran's stockpile of highly enriched uranium, with provisions for on-site destruction and removal. Recent statements from the Trump administration highlight progress toward a framework agreement, including a 60-day period for technical details on dismantling aspects of Iran's nuclear program and verification. Iran has signaled preference for down-blending material domestically under inspectors rather than direct transfer. These diplomatic developments, alongside paused considerations of alternative seizure options, shape trader assessments of timelines for any transfer by year-end or sooner. Resolution depends on final commitments amid ongoing talks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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