Kareem Allam leads Vancouver's October 17, 2026 mayoral race as the Vancouver Liberals nominee and former chief of staff to incumbent Ken Sim, with traders assigning him a 41.5% implied probability amid a fragmented field. Progressive parties including the Greens, COPE, and OneCity formalized a candidate-limiting agreement in mid-April to reduce vote splitting on the left, while Sim seeks re-election under ABC Vancouver after his 2022 majority. Allam's bid draws support from voters seeking change from the current administration, yet Sim retains a base among those favoring continuity on housing and development issues. The presence of additional contenders such as Pete Fry and Rebecca Bligh keeps the outcome fluid, with any consolidation of progressive or moderate support likely to shift trader consensus before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트카림 알람 42%
켄 심 34%
피트 프라이 15.3%
윌리엄 아자로프 5.1%
$67,306 거래량
$67,306 거래량
카림 알람
42%
켄 심
34%
피트 프라이
15%
윌리엄 아자로프
5%
존 쿠파
2%
콜린 하드윅
2%
레베카 블라이
1%
션 오르
1%
팀 루이스
<1%
아만다 버로우스
<1%
커크 라포인트
<1%
프레드 하딩
<1%
카림 알람 42%
켄 심 34%
피트 프라이 15.3%
윌리엄 아자로프 5.1%
$67,306 거래량
$67,306 거래량
카림 알람
42%
켄 심
34%
피트 프라이
15%
윌리엄 아자로프
5%
존 쿠파
2%
콜린 하드윅
2%
레베카 블라이
1%
션 오르
1%
팀 루이스
<1%
아만다 버로우스
<1%
커크 라포인트
<1%
프레드 하딩
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
마켓 개설일: Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kareem Allam leads Vancouver's October 17, 2026 mayoral race as the Vancouver Liberals nominee and former chief of staff to incumbent Ken Sim, with traders assigning him a 41.5% implied probability amid a fragmented field. Progressive parties including the Greens, COPE, and OneCity formalized a candidate-limiting agreement in mid-April to reduce vote splitting on the left, while Sim seeks re-election under ABC Vancouver after his 2022 majority. Allam's bid draws support from voters seeking change from the current administration, yet Sim retains a base among those favoring continuity on housing and development issues. The presence of additional contenders such as Pete Fry and Rebecca Bligh keeps the outcome fluid, with any consolidation of progressive or moderate support likely to shift trader consensus before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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