Incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with overwhelming support against multiple challengers, positioning her for the November general election against Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson. West Virginia's sharp partisan realignment toward Republican dominance, combined with Capito's long tenure since 2015 and consistent statewide visibility, underpins trader consensus for a Republican victory at 93.5 percent. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting strong incumbency advantages and limited Democratic competitiveness in the state. While major unforeseen events such as a late scandal, health issue, or sharp national political shift could theoretically narrow margins, historical patterns and current structural factors present significant barriers to an upset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,049 거래량
$10,049 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican
94%
Democrat
4%
$10,049 거래량
$10,049 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican
$6,020 거래량
94%
Democrat
$4,029 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with overwhelming support against multiple challengers, positioning her for the November general election against Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson. West Virginia's sharp partisan realignment toward Republican dominance, combined with Capito's long tenure since 2015 and consistent statewide visibility, underpins trader consensus for a Republican victory at 93.5 percent. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting strong incumbency advantages and limited Democratic competitiveness in the state. While major unforeseen events such as a late scandal, health issue, or sharp national political shift could theoretically narrow margins, historical patterns and current structural factors present significant barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
거래량
$10,049종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with overwhelming support against multiple challengers, positioning her for the November general election against Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson. West Virginia's sharp partisan realignment toward Republican dominance, combined with Capito's long tenure since 2015 and consistent statewide visibility, underpins trader consensus for a Republican victory at 93.5 percent. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting strong incumbency advantages and limited Democratic competitiveness in the state. While major unforeseen events such as a late scandal, health issue, or sharp national political shift could theoretically narrow margins, historical patterns and current structural factors present significant barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$10,049종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with overwhelming support against multiple challengers, positioning her for the November general election against Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson. West Virginia's sharp partisan realignment toward Republican dominance, combined with Capito's long tenure since 2015 and consistent statewide visibility, underpins trader consensus for a Republican victory at 93.5 percent. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting strong incumbency advantages and limited Democratic competitiveness in the state. While major unforeseen events such as a late scandal, health issue, or sharp national political shift could theoretically narrow margins, historical patterns and current structural factors present significant barriers to an upset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문